Showing content from https://www.glasgow.gov.uk/article/6088/Population-Projections-and-Population-Characteristics below:
Population, Projections and Population Characteristics
Tables 1 and 5-12 illustrate key characteristics of the 622,050 people living in Glasgow City with comparison to the 5.45 million population of Scotland, according to the most recent Small Area Population Estimates (2022 SAPE). These characteristics include population density, gender, age, ethnicity, asylum seekers/refugees, English language proficiency, main language, country of birth, sexual orientation and religion.
Please note that due to their large size, Tables 2a-c, 3a-c, 4a-c, 6b-c and 7b-c are not included in this Profile narrative format. These tables are detailed population estimates by single year of age or age-band and gender for HSCP localities, electoral wards and neighbourhoods and are available in the Excel file accompanying this report.
Tables 13a-b show the estimated population projections of Glasgow and Scotland over the 20 year period 2024 to 2043. (These projections were published in March 2020 and do not therefore take account of any impact that the coronavirus pandemic may have had on population).
Tables 14a-b show the estimated population projections of Glasgow by locality and ward 2024 to 2030. (These projections are 'experimental statistics' which were published in August 2020 and do not therefore take account of any impact that the coronavirus pandemic may have had on population).
Table 1: Total Estimated Population, Land Area and Population Density by Area Indicator Glasgow City Scotland Estimated population (at 30 June 2022) 622,050 5,447,000 Area (km2) 175 77,901 Density (Persons per km2) 3,562 70
Source: NRS - mid 2022 Small Area Population Estimates (SAPE) © Crown copyright 2024
Key Points (Table 1)
- Population density for Glasgow is more than 50 times the average for Scotland, where 3,562 people live in each square kilometre in Glasgow compared to 70 in each km2 across Scotland overall.
Tables 5a-c. General Population Estimates by Age-band, Gender and Area/HSCP Locality
The tables below show locality population by age-band for children 0-17 years, adults 18-64 years and older people 65+ years.
Tables 5a-c in the accompanying Excel file also provide details of locality population by age-band for children 0-15 years, adults 16-64 years and older people 65+ years.
Table 5a. General Population Estimates by Age-band and Area/HSCP Locality - All People All ages Children 0-17 Adults 18-64 Older people 65+ Area/HSCP Locality No. % No. % No. % No. % North East 173,876 100.0% 32,401 18.6% 115,879 66.6% 25,596 14.7% North West 220,284 100.0% 32,686 14.8% 159,362 72.3% 28,236 12.8% South 227,890 100.0% 42,712 18.7% 151,534 66.5% 33,644 14.8% Glasgow City 622,050 100.0% 107,799 17.3% 426,775 68.6% 87,476 14.1% Scotland 5,447,000 100.0% 1,006,258 18.5% 3,343,340 61.4% 1,097,402 20.1%
Source: NRS - mid 2022 Small Area Population Estimates (SAPE) © Crown copyright 2024
Table 5b. General Population Estimates by Age-band and Area/HSCP Locality - Males All ages Children 0-17 Adults 18-64 Older people 65+ Area/HSCP Locality No. % No. % No. % No. % North East 85,288 100.0% 16,626 19.5% 57,443 67.4% 11,219 13.2% North West 107,748 100.0% 16,652 15.5% 78,436 72.8% 12,660 11.7% South 111,615 100.0% 21,796 19.5% 74,857 67.1% 14,962 13.4% Glasgow City 304,651 100.0% 55,074 18.1% 210,736 69.2% 38,841 12.7% Scotland 2,646,358 100.0% 516,065 20.7% 1,631,327 61.6% 498,966 18.9%
Source: NRS - mid 2022 Small Area Population Estimates (SAPE) © Crown copyright 2024
Table 5c. General Population Estimates by Age-band and Area/HSCP Locality - Females All ages Children 0-17 Adults 18-64 Older people 65+ Area/HSCP Locality No. % No. % No. % No. % North East 88,588 100.0% 15,775 17.8% 58,436 66.0% 14,377 16.2% North West 112,536 100.0% 16,034 14.2% 80,926 71.9% 15,576 13.8% South 116,275 100.0% 20,916 18.0% 76,677 65.9% 18,682 16.1% Glasgow City 317,399 100.0% 52,725 16.6% 216,039 68.1% 48,635 15.3% Scotland 2,800,642 100.0% 490,193 17.5% 1,712,013 61.1% 598,436 21.4%
Source: NRS - mid 2022 Small Area Population Estimates (SAPE) © Crown copyright 2024
Key Points (Tables 5a-c)
- Glasgow has an 11.4% share of Scotland's all people population, an 11.5% share of Scotland's male population and an 11.3% share of Scotland's female population. Most people, males and females living in Glasgow live in the South (All, F and M 36.6%) followed by North West (All and M 35.4%, F 35.5%) and then North East (All and M 28.0%; F 27.9%) localities.
- North East and South localities have very similar profiles in terms of population share by age-band. North West has a lower percentage share of children and older people population and a higher share of adult population for all people, males and females.
- There are more females than males overall in all three Glasgow localities, Glasgow City and Scotland with this also reflected in the gender balance of the adult and older people populations (with the exception of South locality where there are more adult males than females). For children, there are more boys than girls in each of the localities, Glasgow City and Scotland.
Table 6a. General Population Estimates by Age-band and Electoral Ward/HSCP Locality/Area - All People HSCP Locality/Area Ward/HSCP Locality All ages Children 0-17 Adults 18-64 Older people 65+ No. % No. % No. % No. % North East Baillieston 22,512 100.0% 4,400 19.5% 14,227 63.2% 3,885 17.3% Calton 30,083 100.0% 5,246 17.4% 21,758 72.3% 3,079 10.2% Dennistoun 19,681 100.0% 2,766 14.1% 14,806 75.2% 2,109 10.7% East Centre 29,238 100.0% 5,728 19.6% 18,622 63.7% 4,888 16.7% North East 20,439 100.0% 4,710 23.0% 12,905 63.1% 2,824 13.8% Shettleston 24,651 100.0% 4,256 17.3% 15,616 63.3% 4,779 19.4% Springburn/Robroyston 27,272 100.0% 5,295 19.4% 17,945 65.8% 4,032 14.8% North East sub-total 173,876 100.0% 32,401 18.6% 115,879 66.6% 25,596 14.7% North West Anderston/City/Yorkhill 35,614 100.0% 2,596 7.3% 31,187 87.6% 1,831 5.1% Canal 25,919 100.0% 5,190 20.0% 16,744 64.6% 3,985 15.4% Drumchapel/Anniesland 29,327 100.0% 5,962 20.3% 19,144 65.3% 4,221 14.4% Garscadden/Scotstounhill 29,804 100.0% 5,961 20.0% 18,936 63.5% 4,907 16.5% Hillhead 26,144 100.0% 2,844 10.9% 20,953 80.1% 2,347 9.0% Maryhill 21,657 100.0% 3,635 16.8% 14,988 69.2% 3,034 14.0% Partick East/Kelvindale 31,377 100.0% 3,280 10.5% 23,250 74.1% 4,847 15.4% Victoria Park 20,442 100.0% 3,218 15.7% 14,160 69.3% 3,064 15.0% North West sub-total 220,284 100.0% 32,686 14.8% 159,362 72.3% 28,236 12.8% South Cardonald 28,468 100.0% 5,722 20.1% 17,446 61.3% 5,300 18.6% Govan 27,611 100.0% 4,596 16.6% 19,869 72.0% 3,146 11.4% Greater Pollok 34,051 100.0% 7,405 21.7% 21,852 64.2% 4,794 14.1% Langside 29,231 100.0% 4,188 14.3% 20,823 71.2% 4,220 14.4% Linn 29,035 100.0% 5,760 19.8% 18,236 62.8% 5,039 17.4% Newlands/Auldburn 23,416 100.0% 4,610 19.7% 14,749 63.0% 4,057 17.3% Pollokshields 28,312 100.0% 4,999 17.7% 19,042 67.3% 4,271 15.1% Southside Central 27,766 100.0% 5,432 19.6% 19,517 70.3% 2,817 10.1% South sub-total 227,890 100.0% 42,712 18.7% 151,534 66.5% 33,644 14.8% Glasgow City 622,050 100.0% 107,799 17.3% 426,775 68.6% 87,476 14.1% Scotland 5,447,000 100.0% 1,006,258 18.5% 3,343,340 61.4% 1,097,402 20.1%
Source: NRS - mid 2022 Small Area Population Estimates (SAPE) © Crown copyright 2024
Notes: Please refer to Tables 6a-c in the accompanying Excel file for details of population by electoral ward and age-band of children 0-15 years, adults 16-64 years and older people 65+years for all people, males and females.
Key Points (Table 6a)
- The Anderston/City/Yorkhill ward has the highest number of people of all ages living in it (35,614 - 5.7% of Glasgow total). The Greater Pollok ward has the highest number of children (7,405 - 6.9%); Anderston/City/Yorkhill ward has the highest number of adults (31,187 - 7.3%) and Cardonald ward has the highest number of older people (5,300 - 6.1%).
- The Dennistoun ward has the lowest number of people of all ages living in it (19,681 - 3.2% of Glasgow total). The Anderston/City/Yorkhill ward has the lowest number of children (2,596 - 2.4%); North East ward has the lowest number of adults (12,905 - 3.0%) and Anderston/City/Yorkhill ward has the lowest number of older people (1,831 - 2.1%).
- The ward profiles that differ most from the Glasgow average of 17.3% children (0-17), 68.6% adults (18-64) and 14.1% older people (65+) in terms of population share by age-band are all in the North West locality. These are Anderston/City/Yorkhill with 7.3% children (0-17), 87.6% adults (18-64) and 5.1% older people (65+); Hillhead 10.9% children (0-17), 80.1% adults (18-64) and 9.0% older people (65+) and Partick East/Kelvindale 10.5% children (0-17), 74.1% adults (18-64) and 15.4% older people (65+).
- Other notable differences from the city average population shares are higher percentages of child population in North East (23.0%) and Greater Pollok (21.7%) wards; lower percentages of adult population in Cardonald (61.3%) and Linn (62.8%) wards and higher percentages of older people population in Shettleston (19.4%) and Cardonald (18.6%) wards.
Table 7a. General Population Estimates by Age-band and Neighbourhood/Area - All People All ages Children 0-17 Adults 18-64 Older people 65+ Neighbourhood/Area No. % No. % No. % No. % Anniesland / Jordanhill / Whiteinch 13,575 100.0% 2,669 19.7% 8,558 63.0% 2,348 17.3% Arden / Carnwadric 9,167 100.0% 1,983 21.6% 5,960 65.0% 1,224 13.4% Baillieston / Garrowhill 16,992 100.0% 3,192 18.8% 10,607 62.4% 3,193 18.8% Balornock/ Barmulloch 7,356 100.0% 1,517 20.6% 4,625 62.9% 1,214 16.5% Bellahouston / Craigton / Mosspark 6,811 100.0% 1,179 17.3% 4,358 64.0% 1,274 18.7% Blackhill / Hogganfield 3,357 100.0% 741 22.1% 2,068 61.6% 548 16.3% Blairdardie 5,156 100.0% 955 18.5% 3,303 64.1% 898 17.4% Broomhill / Partick West 13,263 100.0% 1,546 11.7% 9,948 75.0% 1,769 13.3% Calton / Bridgeton 18,405 100.0% 2,620 14.2% 13,987 76.0% 1,798 9.8% Carmunnock 797 100.0% 151 18.9% 441 55.3% 205 25.7% Castlemilk 16,645 100.0% 3,607 21.7% 10,521 63.2% 2,517 15.1% Cathcart / Simshill 6,487 100.0% 1,007 15.5% 3,973 61.2% 1,507 23.2% City Centre / Merchant City 22,845 100.0% 1,400 6.1% 20,098 88.0% 1,347 5.9% Corkerhill / North Pollok 4,624 100.0% 1,038 22.4% 2,895 62.6% 691 14.9% Croftfoot 5,106 100.0% 995 19.5% 3,301 64.6% 810 15.9% Crookston /South Cardonald 7,071 100.0% 1,139 16.1% 4,238 59.9% 1,694 24.0% Dennistoun 9,995 100.0% 942 9.4% 8,102 81.1% 951 9.5% Drumchapel 12,017 100.0% 3,073 25.6% 7,522 62.6% 1,422 11.8% Easterhouse 9,071 100.0% 2,035 22.4% 5,850 64.5% 1,186 13.1% Govanhill 12,023 100.0% 2,655 22.1% 8,402 69.9% 966 8.0% Greater Gorbals 12,497 100.0% 2,141 17.1% 8,972 71.8% 1,384 11.1% Greater Govan 13,505 100.0% 2,556 18.9% 9,075 67.2% 1,874 13.9% Haghill / Carntyne 5,355 100.0% 1,058 19.8% 3,459 64.6% 838 15.6% Hillhead / Woodlands 19,017 100.0% 2,055 10.8% 15,342 80.7% 1,620 8.5% Hyndland / Dowanhill / Partick East 21,293 100.0% 2,089 9.8% 16,237 76.3% 2,967 13.9% Ibrox / Kingston 14,767 100.0% 2,232 15.1% 11,021 74.6% 1,514 10.3% Kelvindale / Kelvinside 8,783 100.0% 1,215 13.8% 5,770 65.7% 1,798 20.5% King's Park / Mount Florida 11,008 100.0% 1,643 14.9% 7,498 68.1% 1,867 17.0% Knightswood 16,964 100.0% 3,152 18.6% 10,428 61.5% 3,384 19.9% Lambhill / Milton 12,761 100.0% 2,704 21.2% 7,847 61.5% 2,210 17.3% Langside / Battlefield 11,600 100.0% 1,297 11.2% 8,979 77.4% 1,324 11.4% Maryhill Road Corridor 14,845 100.0% 1,910 12.9% 11,208 75.5% 1,727 11.6% Mount Vernon / East Shettleston 11,781 100.0% 1,759 14.9% 7,137 60.6% 2,885 24.5% Newlands / Cathcart 10,159 100.0% 1,668 16.4% 6,431 63.3% 2,060 20.3% North Cardonald / Penilee 14,648 100.0% 3,110 21.2% 8,999 61.4% 2,539 17.3% North Maryhill / Summerston 12,698 100.0% 2,394 18.9% 8,425 66.3% 1,879 14.8% Parkhead / Dalmarnock 14,350 100.0% 3,184 22.2% 9,605 66.9% 1,561 10.9% Pollok 12,504 100.0% 2,432 19.4% 7,997 64.0% 2,075 16.6% Pollokshaws / Mansewood 10,794 100.0% 1,861 17.2% 6,969 64.6% 1,964 18.2% Pollokshields East 6,358 100.0% 1,477 23.2% 4,470 70.3% 411 6.5% Pollokshields West 7,376 100.0% 1,433 19.4% 4,492 60.9% 1,451 19.7% Priesthill / Househillwood 9,730 100.0% 2,318 23.8% 6,181 63.5% 1,231 12.7% Riddrie / Cranhill 12,870 100.0% 2,169 16.9% 8,425 65.5% 2,276 17.7% Robroyston / Millerston 6,605 100.0% 1,331 20.2% 4,490 68.0% 784 11.9% Ruchazie / Garthamlock 8,011 100.0% 1,934 24.1% 4,987 62.3% 1,090 13.6% Ruchill / Possilpark 14,032 100.0% 2,627 18.7% 9,473 67.5% 1,932 13.8% Shawlands / Strathbungo 8,524 100.0% 1,081 12.7% 6,390 75.0% 1,053 12.4% Sighthill / Roystonhill / Germiston 5,047 100.0% 1,136 22.5% 3,367 66.7% 544 10.8% South Nitshill / Darnley 9,796 100.0% 2,361 24.1% 6,358 64.9% 1,077 11.0% Springboig / Barlanark 16,401 100.0% 3,447 21.0% 10,552 64.3% 2,402 14.6% Springburn 13,528 100.0% 2,533 18.7% 8,988 66.4% 2,007 14.8% Temple / Anniesland 7,805 100.0% 1,291 16.5% 5,382 69.0% 1,132 14.5% Tollcross / West Shettleston 13,091 100.0% 2,608 19.9% 8,505 65.0% 1,978 15.1% Toryglen 5,893 100.0% 1,348 22.9% 3,613 61.3% 932 15.8% Yoker / Scotstoun 11,057 100.0% 2,464 22.3% 7,282 65.9% 1,311 11.9% Yorkhill / Anderston 15,834 100.0% 1,337 8.4% 13,664 86.3% 833 5.3% Glasgow City 622,050 100.0% 107,799 17.3% 426,775 68.6% 87,476 14.1% Scotland 5,447,000 100.0% 1,006,258 18.5% 3,343,340 61.4% 1,097,402 20.1%
Source: NRS - mid 2022 Small Area Population Estimates (SAPE) © Crown copyright 2024
Notes: Please refer to Tables 7a-c in the accompanying Excel file for details of neighbourhood population by age-band for children 0-15 years, adults 16-64 years and older people 65+ years.
Key Points (Table 7a)
- The City Centre/Merchant City neighbourhood has the highest number of people of all ages living in it (22,845 - 3.7% of Glasgow total). The Castlemilk neighbourhood has the highest number of children (3,607 - 3.3%); City Centre/Merchant City neighbourhood has the highest number of adults (20,098 - 4.7%) and Knightswood neighbourhood has the highest number of older people (3,384 - 3.9%).
- The Carmunnock neighbourhood has the lowest number of people of all ages (797 - 0.1% of Glasgow total), children (151 - 0.1%), adults (441 - 0.1%) and older people (205 - 0.2%) living in it.
- The neighbourhood profiles that differ most from the Glasgow averages of 17.3% children (0-17), 68.6% adults (18-64) and 14.1% older people (65+) in terms of population share by age-band are Carmunnock for all age-bands, as noted above; City Centre/Merchant City (6.1% children, 88.0% adults, 5.9% older people); Crookston/South Cardonald (59.9% adults, 24.0% older people); Dennistoun (9.4% children, 81.1% adults, 9.5% older people); Drumchapel (25.6% children); Hillhead/Woodlands (10.8% children, 80.7% adults, 8.5% older people); Hyndland/Dowanhill/Partick East (9.8% children, 76.3% adults); Mount Vernon/East Shettleston (24.5% older people); Pollokshields East (6.5% older people); Priesthill/Househillwood (23.8% children); Ruchazie/Garthamlock (24.1% children) and Yorkhill/Anderston (8.4% children, 86.3% adults, 5.3% older people).
Tables 8a-c. Ethnicity of All People and School Pupils; Asylum Seekers/Refugees Table 8a. General Population Estimates by Ethnicity Banding and Area/HSCP Locality North East North West South Glasgow City Scotland Ethnicity Banding No. % No. % No. % No. % No. % White Scottish and Other British 136,500 78.5% 153,602 69.7% 162,624 71.4% 452,726 72.8% 4,743,248 87.1% Other White inc. Irish, Polish and Gypsy/Traveller 12,450 7.2% 20,625 9.4% 16,408 7.2% 49,483 7.9% 314,836 5.8% All White Sub-total 148,950 85.7% 174,227 79.1% 179,032 78.6% 502,209 80.7% 5,058,084 92.9% All Asian 10,383 6.0% 24,989 11.3% 33,507 14.7% 68,879 11.1% 212,433 3.9% African 8,559 4.9% 7,743 3.5% 6,062 2.7% 22,364 3.6% 58,828 1.1% All Other Ethnic Groups 5,984 3.4% 13,325 6.0% 9,289 4.1% 28,598 4.6% 117,655 2.2% All Black Minority Ethnic Sub-total 24,926 14.3% 46,057 20.9% 48,858 21.4% 119,841 19.3% 388,916 7.1% All People 173,876 100.0% 220,284 100.0% 227,890 100.0% 622,050 100.0% 5,447,000 100.0%
All Other White and Black Minority Ethnic sub-total*
37,376
21.5%
66,682
30.3%
65,266
28.6%
169,325
27.2%
703,752
12.9%
Source: NRS - mid 2022 Small Area Population Estimates (SAPE) and NRS - Scotland's Census 2022 © Crown copyright 2024
Method: Prevalence rate from 2022 Census data (total 2011 datazone population) is applied to 2022 SAPE
Notes:
*Scotland's Census 2022 groups all Other White and Black Minority Ethnic backgrounds together in it's high level reporting of Minority Ethnic background.
This includes some ethnic groups that were in the White category on the Census form such as Irish, Polish, Gypsy/Traveller, Roma and Showman/Showwoman.
This subtotal is therefore shown as well as separate subtotals for Other White and Black Minority Ethnic backgrounds.
Key Points (Table 8a)
- The ethnic profile of Glasgow's population is very different from that of Scotland overall with Glasgow City having a percentage of Black and Minority Ethnic (BME) people (19.3%) almost 3 times that of Scotland (7.1%). There are also differences in the ethnic profile of the population within Glasgow with a BME population in North East of 14.3%, North West 20.9% and South 21.4%.
Table 8b. Ethnicity of School Pupils by Sector and Area (all pupils*) Glasgow City Scotland Sector / Ethnicity banding No. % No. % Primary White 24,245 60.1% 325,458 84.6% Minority Ethnic 11,547 28.6% 46,837 12.2% Not known/disclosed 4,545 11.3% 12,430 3.2% All 40,337 100.0% 384,725 100.0% Secondary White 20,401 68.1% 275,984 88.2% Minority Ethnic 7,849 26.2% 31,874 10.2% Not known/disclosed 1,707 5.7% 5,203 1.7% All 29,957 100.0% 313,061 100.0% Special White 913 65.5% 6,418 82.9% Minority Ethnic 382 27.4% 992 12.8% Not known/disclosed 99 7.1% 332 4.3% All 1,394 100.0% 7,742 100.0% All White 45,559 63.6% 607,860 86.2% Minority Ethnic 19,778 27.6% 79,703 11.3% Not known/disclosed 6,351 8.9% 17,965 2.5% All 71,688 100.0% 705,528 100.0%
Source: Scottish Government Pupil Census - Supplementary Statistics 2023
Notes: * grant aided school pupils included in Scotland figures, not individual local authority figures
Key Points (Table 8b)
- More than a quarter of Glasgow (local authority) school pupils (27.6%) have a Minority Ethnic background which is more than two times the percentage of Minority Ethnic pupils of Scotland overall (11.3%).
Table 8c. Asylum Seekers and Refugees by Area Number of people Asylum seeker/refugee status Glasgow City Scotland Other information/notes All pupils1* Asylum seekers 1,588 2,155 Glasgow number is 73.7% of Scottish total Refugees 2,194 6,556 Glasgow number is 33.5% of Scottish total All people Asylum seekers2(a) 3,681 5,066 Glasgow number is 72.7% of Scottish total Refugees resettled since 20142(b) 527 3,984 Glasgow number is 13.2% of Scottish total
Source: 1. Scottish Government Pupil Census - Supplementary Statistics 2023; 2. UK Government Statistics (Home Office) - Asylum and Resettlement - Local Authority Data as at 31 Mar 24: (a) Asylum Seekers in receipt of Section 95 support by LA; (b) Refugees resettled under Vulnerable Persons Resettlement Scheme (VPRS) or Vulnerable Children Resettlement Scheme (VCRS) by LA.
Notes: * excludes grant aided school pupils.
Key Points (Table 8c)
- 1,588 Glasgow pupils are seeking asylum, representing 73.7% of the national total, compared to Glasgow's 10.2% share of pupils overall. Glasgow schools have 2,194 pupils who are refugees, 33.5% of all pupils who are refugees, in Scotland.
- Among the overall population, 7 in 10 of Scotland's asylum seekers are living in Glasgow (3,681 - 72.7%). A far smaller number of 527 people are refugees resettled since 2014 living in Glasgow, representing 13.2% of all Scotland's resettled refugees, compared to Glasgow's 11.4% share of the national population of all people (Table 5a).
Table 9. General Population Estimates by Country of Birth and Area (all people) Glasgow City Scotland Country of birth No. % No. % Scotland 459,048 73.8% 4,327,197 79.4% Rest of UK 43,930 7.1% 564,190 10.4% Rest of Europe 40,111 6.4% 255,659 4.7% Africa 18,817 3.0% 72,186 1.3% Middle East and Asia 50,775 8.2% 163,824 3.0% The Americas and the Caribbean 7,904 1.3% 49,520 0.9% Antarctica and Oceania and Other 1,465 0.2% 14,424 0.3% All People 622,050 100.0% 5,447,000 100.0%
Source: NRS - mid 2022 Small Area Population Estimates (SAPE) and NRS - Scotland's Census 2022 © Crown copyright 2024
Method: Prevalence rate from 2022 Census data (total 2011 datazone population) is applied to 2022 SAPE
Key Points (Table 9)
- 80.9% of Glaswegians were born in Scotland or elsewhere in the UK compared to 89.8% of Scottish people. 19.1% of Glasgow people were born outside of the UK - almost twice the percentage of 10.2% of Scots born outside the UK.
Tables 10a-c. General Population English Language Skills and Main Language of All People/School Pupils Table 10a. General Population Estimates by English Language Skills and Area (all people aged 3+) Glasgow City Scotland English Skills Level/Type No. % No. % Understands spoken English only 3,059 0.5% 19,757 0.4% Speaks, reads and writes English 555,065 91.8% 4,994,198 94.2% Speaks but does not read or write English 18,324 3.0% 158,212 3.0% Speaks and reads but does not write English 6,490 1.1% 46,607 0.9% Other combinations of skills in English 5,432 0.9% 23,282 0.4% Limited English skills 13,537 2.2% 51,874 1.0% No skills in English 2,714 0.4% 9,081 0.2% All people aged 3+ 604,621 100.0% 5,303,011 100.0%
Source: NRS - mid 2022 Small Area Population Estimates (SAPE) and NRS - Scotland's Census 2022 © Crown copyright 2024
Method: Prevalence rate from 2022 Census data (total 2011 datazone population) is applied to 2022 SAPE total 3+ population
Key Points (Table 10a)
- An estimated 16,251 people in Glasgow have limited or no skills in English, with the Glasgow rate of 2.7% of the aged 3+ population being more than double that for Scotland (1.1%).
Table 10b. General Population Estimates by Main Language and Area (all people aged 3+) Glasgow City Scotland Main Language No. % No. % English 533,284 88.2% 5,009,943 94.5% Scots or Gaelic 1,817 0.3% 17,010 0.3% Sign Language 383 0.1% 2,623 0.0% Other language 69,137 11.4% 273,435 5.2% All people aged 3+ 604,621 100.0% 5,303,011 100.0%
Source: NRS - mid 2022 Small Area Population Estimates (SAPE) and NRS - Scotland's Census 2022 © Crown copyright 2024
Method: Prevalence rate from 2022 Census data (total 2011 datazone population) is applied to 2022 SAPE total 3+ population
Key Points (Table 10b)
- 11.7% of Glaswegians use a language other than English or British Sign Language (BSL) at home, compared to 5.5% of Scots.
Table 10c. School Pupils English Language Competence / Main Home Language by Area (all pupils) Glasgow City Scotland Other information/notes Indicator No. % No. % Pupils who are new, early to or developing competence with English as a second language 15,319 21.4% 42,681 6.0% Pupils whose main home language is neither English, Gaelic, Scots, Doric nor Sign Language 20,202 28.2% 73,564 10.4% 138 different languages apart from English are spoken by Glasgow pupils (179 for Scotland).
Source: Scottish Government Pupil Census - Supplementary Statistics 2023
Notes: Total pupils for Glasgow = 71,688; Scotland = 705,528
Key Points (Table 10c)
- More than a fifth of Glasgow school pupils (21.4%) are at an early stage of learning English as a second language - more than three times the percentage for Scotland of 6.0%. Similarly, more than a quarter of Glasgow pupils (28.2%) have a main home language other than English, Gaelic, Scots, Doric or British Sign Language (BSL) - almost three times the percentage of 10.4% of Scottish pupils.
Tables 11a-b. Sexual Orientation of All Adults/School Pupils Table 11a. General Population Estimates by Sexual Orientation and Area (adults 16+) Glasgow City Scotland Sexual Orientation No. % No. % Heterosexual/straight 441,850 84.0% 3,999,646 87.8% LGBTi 37,380 7.1% 184,129 4.0% Not answered 46,680 8.9% 371,395 8.2% All Adults 16+ 525,910 100.0% 4,555,170 100.0%
Source: NRS - mid 2022 Small Area Population Estimates (SAPE) and NRS - Scotland's Census 2022 © Crown copyright 2024
Method: Prevalence rate from 2022 Census data (total 2011 datazone population) is applied to 2022 SAPE total 16+ population
Key Points (Table 11a)
- Glasgow has almost twice the percentage of LGBTi adults (7.1%) as Scotland (4.0%).
Table 11b. Glasgow S1-4 School Pupils LGBT Sexual Orientation Sexual Orientation/Gender % LGBT Boys 5.0% LGBT Girls 11.0% LGBT All 9.0%
Source: NHSGGC Schools Health and Well-being Survey - Glasgow City 2019/20
Key Points (Table 11b)
- 9.0% of school pupils are LGBT.
Table 12. General Population Estimates by Religion and Area (all people) Glasgow City Scotland Religion No. % No. % Church of Scotland 82,755 13.3% 1,109,254 20.4% Roman Catholic 129,008 20.7% 724,274 13.3% Other Christian 29,068 4.7% 279,655 5.1% Buddhist 2,860 0.5% 15,521 0.3% Hindu 8,183 1.3% 29,968 0.6% Jewish 975 0.2% 5,855 0.1% Muslim 48,866 7.9% 120,030 2.2% Sikh 3,463 0.6% 11,002 0.2% Pagan 2,005 0.3% 19,138 0.4% Other Religion 1,821 0.3% 12,441 0.2% None 268,879 43.2% 2,784,559 51.1% Not indicated 44,167 7.1% 335,303 6.2% All People 622,050 100.0% 5,447,000 100.0%
Source: NRS - mid 2022 Small Area Population Estimates (SAPE) and NRS - Scotland's Census 2022 © Crown copyright 2024
Method: Prevalence rate from 2022 Census data (total 2011 datazone population) is applied to 2022 SAPE
Key Points (Table 12)
- Just under half of the Glasgow adult population report of belonging to a religion (49.7%) with most following Roman Catholic (20.7%) or Church of Scotland (13.3%) religions. 43.2% of Glasgow adults have no religion.
- In Scotland, more than two-fifths of adults have a religion (42.7%) while more than half have no religion (51.1%). Most that do have a religion, belong to the Church of Scotland (20.4%) or Roman Catholic (13.3%) faiths.
Tables 13a-b. Population Projections 2023 to 2043 - Number of People and Percentage Change
Please note that the undernoted population projections are high quality estimates based on past trends using certain assumptions which do not take account of the many factors that may influence population change. Further information on limitations is available on the NRS website. Major factors that have impacted on population since these 2018 based projections were calculated include the Covid pandemic and Brexit, for instance.
Table 13a. Population Projection Estimates 2024 to 2043 by Age-band and Area - Number of People Glasgow City Scotland Age-band 2024 2029 2034 2043 2024 2029 2034 2043 Children 0-17 111,688 108,911 104,961 104,050 1,019,078 979,356 942,611 930,052 Adults 18-64 435,486 435,229 436,791 442,664 3,352,105 3,316,403 3,273,990 3,254,114 Older people 65+ 91,145 101,610 111,427 116,024 1,133,683 1,247,907 1,349,368 1,390,653 All ages 638,319 645,750 653,179 662,738 5,504,866 5,543,666 5,565,969 5,574,819
Source: NRS population projections 2018 based © Crown Copyright 2020
Notes: The 2024 age-band projections, which were based on 2018 (pre Covid) population figures, differ to actual population figures by varying degrees. Overall, the projections for Glasgow and Scotland 2024 population, are higher than actual 2024 population (based mid 2022 SAPE), by 2.6% (Glasgow) and 1.0% (Scotland).
Table 13b. Population Projection Estimates 2024 to 2043 by Age-band and Area - Percentage Change from 2024 Glasgow City Scotland Age-band 2024 to 2029 2024 to 2034 2024 to 2043 2024 to 2029 2024 to 2034 2024 to 2043 Children 0-17 -2.5% -6.0% -6.8% -3.9% -7.5% -8.7% Adults 18-64 -0.1% 0.3% 1.6% -1.1% -2.3% -2.9% Older people 65+ 11.5% 22.3% 27.3% 10.1% 19.0% 22.7% All ages 1.2% 2.3% 3.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.3%
Source: NRS population projections 2018 based © Crown Copyright 2020
Key Points (Table 13a-b)
- The total population of Glasgow is forecast to increase by more than 7,400 people (1.2%) between 2024 and 2029, by almost 14,900 (2.3%) between 2024 and 2034 and by more than 24,400 (3.8%) between 2024 and 2043. Lower rates of overall population growth are forecast for Scotland of 0.7% between 2024 and 2029, 1.3% between 2024 and 2034 and 1.3% between 2024 and 2043.
- It is expected that the adult population of Glasgow will increase marginally over the ten-year period 2024 and 2034 by 0.3%, while the child population is likely to decrease by 6.0% during this time. Both the adult and child population of Scotland is expected to decrease between 2024 and 2034 by 2.3% (adults) and 7.5% (children). The older people population of both Glasgow and Scotland is expected to grow hugely over this 10-year period by 22.3% (Glasgow) and 19.0% (Scotland).
- In the 19 year period 2024 to 2043, the Glasgow child population is likely to decrease by 6.8% compared to a 8.7% decrease for the Scotland child population. The Glasgow adult population is expected to grow by 1.6% over this period while the adult population of Scotland is expected to decrease by 2.9%. The older people population of both Glasgow and Scotland is expected to grow hugely over this period by 27.3% (Glasgow) and 22.7% (Scotland).
Tables 14a-b. Population Projections 2024 to 2030 - Number of People and Percentage Change
The undernoted population projections by electoral ward are experimental statistics that have been calculated by the Improvement Service. They are high quality estimates based on past trends using certain assumptions which do not take account of the many factors that may influence population change. These calculations were made using 2018 population data, before the pandemic and Brexit impacted on population for instance. Population projections are less reliable for small populations and reliability decreases the further you go into the future. These detailed figures should be treated with caution. Further information on the limitations of these Projections is available on the Improvement Service website.
Table 14a. Population Projection Estimates 2024 to 2030 by Age-band and Electoral Ward/HSCP Locality - Number of People 2024 Population Projection 2030 Population Projection HSCP Locality Ward/HSCP Locality/Area All ages 0-17 18-64 65+ All ages 0-17 18-64 65+ North East Baillieston 22,882 4,649 14,122 4,111 23,064 4,708 13,419 4,937 Calton 35,097 6,467 25,263 3,368 40,306 7,617 28,782 3,907 Dennistoun 20,923 2,880 15,871 2,172 20,421 2,515 15,669 2,238 East Centre 29,889 6,270 18,659 4,959 30,829 6,400 19,018 5,411 North East 21,229 4,970 13,255 3,005 21,392 4,729 13,151 3,512 Shettleston 26,314 4,764 16,674 4,875 26,182 4,705 16,030 5,447 Springburn/Robroyston 28,106 5,560 18,459 4,087 28,121 5,293 17,914 4,914 North East sub-total 184,439 35,558 122,303 26,577 190,315 35,968 123,982 30,365 North West Anderston/City/Yorkhill 40,081 3,120 34,924 2,037 46,417 3,977 39,939 2,501 Canal 25,164 4,939 16,399 3,826 24,919 4,601 16,193 4,126 Drumchapel/Anniesland 28,540 5,686 18,420 4,435 27,233 4,857 17,305 5,071 Garscadden/Scotstounhill 30,859 5,697 20,060 5,103 30,389 5,096 19,502 5,791 Hillhead 26,953 3,069 21,318 2,566 27,179 2,897 21,172 3,110 Maryhill 22,591 3,839 15,568 3,184 22,566 3,635 15,206 3,724 Partick East/Kelvindale 32,240 3,325 23,836 5,079 33,545 3,328 24,464 5,753 Victoria Park 21,857 3,432 15,161 3,265 21,990 3,294 14,980 3,716 North West sub-total 228,286 33,107 165,685 29,494 234,239 31,685 168,762 33,791 South Cardonald 28,209 5,766 17,137 5,306 26,786 5,177 15,770 5,839 Govan 28,930 4,927 20,650 3,353 29,916 4,771 21,322 3,824 Greater Pollok 33,023 7,382 20,432 5,208 33,546 7,202 19,806 6,538 Langside 30,158 4,593 21,077 4,488 30,070 4,171 20,848 5,052 Linn 27,573 5,623 16,780 5,169 25,588 4,935 15,004 5,649 Newlands/Auldburn 22,640 4,464 14,110 4,066 21,741 4,091 13,255 4,395 Pollokshields 26,294 4,122 17,771 4,401 24,359 3,280 16,241 4,839 Southside Central 28,769 6,146 19,541 3,082 30,713 6,599 20,645 3,468 South sub-total 225,594 43,023 147,497 35,074 222,720 40,224 142,891 39,604 Glasgow City 638,319 111,688 435,486 91,145 647,273 107,878 435,635 103,760
Source: Improvement Service Sub-Council Area Population Projections (2018 based)
Table 14b. Difference in Projected Population 2024 to 2030 by Age-band and Electoral Ward/HSCP Locality - Number of People and Percentage Difference in population 2024 to 2030 (no. of people) Percentage difference in population 2024 to 2030 HSCP Locality Ward/HSCP Locality/Area All ages 0-17 18-64 65+ All ages 0-17 18-64 65+ North East Baillieston 183 60 -703 826 0.8% 1.3% -5.0% 20.1% Calton 5,208 1,151 3,519 539 14.8% 17.8% 13.9% 16.0% Dennistoun -501 -365 -202 65 -2.4% -12.7% -1.3% 3.0% East Centre 940 130 358 451 3.1% 2.1% 1.9% 9.1% North East 162 -240 -104 507 0.8% -4.8% -0.8% 16.9% Shettleston -132 -59 -644 572 -0.5% -1.2% -3.9% 11.7% Springburn/Robroyston 16 -266 -546 827 0.1% -4.8% -3.0% 20.2% North East sub-total 5,876 410 1,678 3,788 3.2% 1.2% 1.4% 14.3% North West Anderston/City/Yorkhill 6,337 858 5,015 464 15.8% 27.5% 14.4% 22.8% Canal -245 -339 -206 300 -1.0% -6.9% -1.3% 7.8% Drumchapel/Anniesland -1,307 -829 -1,114 637 -4.6% -14.6% -6.0% 14.4% Garscadden/Scotstounhill -470 -601 -557 688 -1.5% -10.6% -2.8% 13.5% Hillhead 225 -172 -146 544 0.8% -5.6% -0.7% 21.2% Maryhill -25 -203 -362 540 -0.1% -5.3% -2.3% 17.0% Partick East/Kelvindale 1,305 3 628 674 4.0% 0.1% 2.6% 13.3% Victoria Park 133 -138 -181 451 0.6% -4.0% -1.2% 13.8% North West sub-total 5,953 -1,422 3,077 4,298 2.6% -4.3% 1.9% 14.6% South Cardonald -1,422 -588 -1,367 533 -5.0% -10.2% -8.0% 10.0% Govan 986 -156 672 470 3.4% -3.2% 3.3% 14.0% Greater Pollok 524 -181 -625 1,330 1.6% -2.4% -3.1% 25.5% Langside -88 -422 -229 564 -0.3% -9.2% -1.1% 12.6% Linn -1,985 -688 -1,776 479 -7.2% -12.2% -10.6% 9.3% Newlands/Auldburn -899 -374 -854 329 -4.0% -8.4% -6.1% 8.1% Pollokshields -1,935 -843 -1,531 438 -7.4% -20.4% -8.6% 10.0% Southside Central 1,944 453 1,104 386 6.8% 7.4% 5.7% 12.5% South sub-total -2,875 -2,799 -4,606 4,530 -1.3% -6.5% -3.1% 12.9% Glasgow City 8,954 -3,810 149 12,615 1.4% -3.4% 0.0% 13.8%
Source: Improvement Service Sub-Council Area Population Projections (2018 based)
Key Points (Table 14a-b)
- The total population of Glasgow is forecast to increase by 8,954 (1.4%) between 2024 and 2030, with increases also expected within Glasgow for North East locality of 5,876 (3.2%) and North West locality of 5,953 (2.6%). A decrease is expected for South locality of 2,875 (-1.3%), over this period. By ward, the projections vary widely from a decrease of -7.2% in the total population of Linn to an increase of 15.8% in the total population of Anderston/City/Yorkhill.
- Within the North East locality increases are forecast for all age-bands 2024 to 2030. The child (0-17 years) population is expected to grow by 410 (1.2%), the adult (18-64 years) population by 1,678 (1.4%) and the older people (65+) population by 3,788 (14.3%).
- Projections 2024 to 2030 vary widely by ward within the North East locality. The child population forecasts range from a decrease of 365 (-12.7%) for Dennistoun to an increase of 1,151 (17.8%) for Calton. For the adult population this ranges from a decrease of 703 (-5.0%) for Baillieston to an increase of 3,519 (13.1%) for Calton. The older people population of all wards is expected to increase, ranging from 65 (3.0%) for Dennistoun to 827 (20.2%) for Springburn/Robroyston.
- Within the North West locality the child (0-17 years) population is expected to decrease by 1,422 (-4.3%) 2024 to 2030. The adult (18-64 years) population is forecast to increase by 3,077 (1.9%) and the older people (65+) population is also forecast to increase, by 4,298 (14.6%).
- Projections 2024 to 2030 vary widely by ward within the North West locality. The child population forecasts range from a decrease of 829 (-14.6%) for Drumchapel/Anniesland to an increase of 858 (27.5%) for Anderson/City/Yorkhill. For the adult population this ranges from a decrease of 1,114 (-6.0%) for Drumchapel/Anniesland to an increase of 5,015 (14.4%) for Anderston/City/Yorkhill. The older people population of all wards is expected to increase, ranging from 300 (7.8%) for Canal to 688 (13.5%) for Garscadden/Scotstounhill.
- Within the South locality the child (0-17 years) population is expected to decrease by 2,799 (-6.5%) 2024 to 2030. The adult (18-64 years) population is also forecast to decrease, by 4,606 (-3.1%), while the older people (65+) population is forecast to increase by 4,530 (12.9%).
- Projections 2024 to 2030 vary widely by ward within the South locality. The child population forecasts range from a decrease of 843 (-20.4%) for Pollokshields to an increase of 453 (7.4%) for Southside Central. For the adult population this ranges from a decrease of 1,776 (-10.6%) for Linn to an increase of 1,104 (5.7%) for Southside Central. The older people population of all wards is expected to increase, ranging from 329 (8.1%) for Newlands/Auldburn to 1,330 (25.5%) for Greater Pollok.
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