Observational Study
. 2025 Apr;210(2):285-294. doi: 10.1007/s10549-024-07562-w. Epub 2024 Dec 2. Incidence, treatment patterns, and mortality for patients with breast cancer during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic: a population-based studyAffiliations
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Observational Study
Incidence, treatment patterns, and mortality for patients with breast cancer during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic: a population-based studyJosé Pablo Leone et al. Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2025 Apr.
. 2025 Apr;210(2):285-294. doi: 10.1007/s10549-024-07562-w. Epub 2024 Dec 2. AffiliationsItem in Clipboard
AbstractPurpose: The COVID-19 pandemic created significant disruptions in the diagnosis and treatment of breast cancer (BC). Several public health measures were taken with limited evidence on their potential impact. In this observational study, we sought to compare the incidence of BC, treatment patterns, and mortality during 2020 versus 2018 and 2019.
Methods: Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program, we identified 37,834 patients with ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) and 199,594 with invasive BC between 2018 and 2020. We assessed age-adjusted incidence rates of DCIS and invasive BC as cases per 100,000, treatment patterns, and mortality in 2020 versus 2018 and 2019.
Results: From 2019 to 2020, the incidence of female DCIS decreased from 36.4 to 31.0, and the incidence of female invasive BC decreased from 184.2 to 166.6. Among females, the relative reductions in incidence from 2019 to 2020 were 14.8% for DCIS, 12.1% for stage I, 5.8% for stage II, 2.6% for stage III, and 1.9% for stage IV. Comparing 2020 to 2018-2019 in invasive BC, we observed significant changes in treatment patterns with decreased use of surgery or radiation and increased use of chemotherapy. The 12-month mortality rates were 4.49%, 4.37%, and 4.57% for 2018, 2019 and 2020, respectively. In the Cox model, there were no significant differences in mortality between patients diagnosed in 2020 versus 2018 or 2019.
Conclusions: During 2020, the incidence of BC decreased significantly. There were reductions in surgery and radiation use, but not in chemotherapy. Although vaccines were largely unavailable and COVID-19 treatments were in development, we saw no differences in 12-month mortality in 2020 versus prior years. The impact on BC-specific outcomes requires further follow-up.
Keywords: Breast cancer; COVID; Death; Health policy; Vaccines.
© 2024. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature.
Conflict of interest statementDeclarations. Competing interests: JPL received research funding from Kazia Therapeutics and Lilly; and consulting honoraria from Minerva Biotechnologies. SMT reports consulting or advisory role for Novartis, Pfizer (SeaGen), Merck, Eli Lilly, AstraZeneca, Genentech/Roche, Eisai, Sanofi, Bristol Myers Squibb, CytomX Therapeutics, Daiichi Sankyo, Gilead, Zymeworks, Zentalis, Blueprint Medicines, Reveal Genomics, Sumitovant Biopharma, Umoja Biopharma, Artios Pharma, Menarini/Stemline, Aadi Bio, Bayer, Incyte Corp, Jazz Pharmaceuticals, Natera, Tango Therapeutics, Systimmune, eFFECTOR, Hengrui USA, Cullinan Oncology, Circle Pharma, Arvinas, BioNTech, Johnson&Johnson/Ambrx, Launch Therapeutics, Zuellig Pharma, and Bicycle Therapeutics; institutional research support from Genentech/Roche, Merck, Exelixis, Pfizer, Lilly, Novartis, Bristol Myers Squibb, Eisai, AstraZeneca, Gilead, NanoString Technologies, Seattle Genetics, OncoPep, Daiichi Sankyo, and Menarini/Stemline; and travel support from Eli Lilly, Sanofi, Gilead, Jazz Pharmaceuticals, Pfizer, and Arvinas. NUL reports consulting honoraria from Puma, Seattle Genetics, Daiichi-Sankyo, AstraZeneca, Olema Pharmaceuticals, Janssen, Blueprint Medicines, Stemline/Menarini, Artera Inc., and Eisai; institutional research support from Genentech (and Zion Pharmaceutical as part of GNE), Pfizer, Merck, Seattle Genetics (now Pfizer), Olema Pharmaceuticals, and AstraZeneca; royalties from Up to date (book); and travel support from Olema Pharmaceuticals and AstraZeneca. Ethics approval: The study was exempted from Institutional Review Board review because we utilized de-identified, previously collected, publicly available data. The study follows the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) guidelines. Consent to participate: Not applicable. Consent for publication: Not applicable.
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