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Association between time to colonoscopy after positive fecal testing and colorectal cancer outcomes in Alberta, Canada

. 2024 Dec;31(4):232-238. doi: 10.1177/09691413241239023. Epub 2024 Mar 15. Association between time to colonoscopy after positive fecal testing and colorectal cancer outcomes in Alberta, Canada

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Association between time to colonoscopy after positive fecal testing and colorectal cancer outcomes in Alberta, Canada

Darren R Brenner et al. J Med Screen. 2024 Dec.

. 2024 Dec;31(4):232-238. doi: 10.1177/09691413241239023. Epub 2024 Mar 15. Affiliations

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Abstract

Objective: To quantify the associations between time to colonoscopy after a positive fecal immunochemical test (FIT+) and colorectal cancer (CRC)-related outcomes in the context of a provincial, population-based CRC screening program.

Setting: Population-based, retrospective cohort study in Alberta, Canada, including Albertans aged 50-74 with at least one FIT+ in 2014-2017.

Methods: Study outcomes were CRC diagnosis after a FIT+ and a diagnostic follow-up colonoscopy in 2014-2019 and CRC stage at diagnosis. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to evaluate the relative risk of any CRC or advanced-stage CRC. Results were presented as crude odds ratio (OR) and adjusted OR (aOR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results: Of the 787,967 participants who had a FIT, 63,232 (8%) had a FIT+ and met the study's eligibility criteria. The risk of any CRC or advanced-stage CRC stayed high and was relatively consistent for follow-up colonoscopies performed within 1-12 months of the FIT+. After 12 months, the risk of CRC was considerably higher, particularly for advanced-stage CRC. The OR and aOR for any CRC were 1.40 (95% CI: 1.13-1.73; p < 0.05) and 1.20 (95% CI: 0.96-1.49), respectively, and the OR and aOR for advanced-stage CRC were 1.42 (95% CI: 0.98-2.08) and 0.88 (95% CI: 0.59-1.32), respectively, for colonoscopy follow-up within 12-18 months versus 1-2 months.

Conclusions: For Albertans who used FIT for CRC screening, a longer time interval between a FIT+ and follow-up colonoscopy, particularly over 12 months, increases the risk of having CRC and decreases the effectiveness of CRC screening programs.

Keywords: Colorectal cancer; cancer screening; colonoscopy; fecal immunochemical test; retrospective cohort study.

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Conflict of interest statement

Declaration of conflicting interestsThe authors declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.

Figures

Figure 1.

Study inclusion/exclusion of participants in…

Figure 1.

Study inclusion/exclusion of participants in Alberta's Colorectal Cancer Screening Program in 2014–2017 after…

Figure 1.

Study inclusion/exclusion of participants in Alberta's Colorectal Cancer Screening Program in 2014–2017 after applying relevant eligibility criteria.

Figure 2.

Time to colonoscopy after positive…

Figure 2.

Time to colonoscopy after positive fecal immunochemical test results between 2014 and 2019…

Figure 2.

Time to colonoscopy after positive fecal immunochemical test results between 2014 and 2019 in Alberta by waiting time in months, up to 24 months.

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