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Variation in the risk of death due to COVID-19: An international multicenter cohort study of hospitalized adults

Multicenter Study

. 2022 Oct;17(10):793-802. doi: 10.1002/jhm.12946. Epub 2022 Aug 30. Variation in the risk of death due to COVID-19: An international multicenter cohort study of hospitalized adults Kieran L Quinn  1   2   3 Kali Barrett  5   6 Emily Bartsch  1 Andrea Beaman  7 Tor Biering-Sørensen  8 Michael Colacci  9 Alex Cressman  2 Allan Detsky  1 Alexi Gosset  9 Mats H Lassen  9 Chris Kandel  10 Yaariv Khaykin  11 Lauren Lapointe-Shaw  5 Erik Lovblom  12 Derek R MacFadden  13 Bruce Perkins  5 Kenneth J Rothman  14 Kristoffer G Skaarup  7 Nathan Stall  15 Terence Tang  6 Chris Yarnell  6 Jonathan Zipursky  16 Matthew T Warkentin  12 Mike Fralick  1 COVID-ACE Group

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Multicenter Study

Variation in the risk of death due to COVID-19: An international multicenter cohort study of hospitalized adults

Kieran L Quinn et al. J Hosp Med. 2022 Oct.

. 2022 Oct;17(10):793-802. doi: 10.1002/jhm.12946. Epub 2022 Aug 30. Authors Kieran L Quinn  1   2   3 Husam Abdel-Qadir  4   5 Kali Barrett  5   6 Emily Bartsch  1 Andrea Beaman  7 Tor Biering-Sørensen  8 Michael Colacci  9 Alex Cressman  2 Allan Detsky  1 Alexi Gosset  9 Mats H Lassen  9 Chris Kandel  10 Yaariv Khaykin  11 Lauren Lapointe-Shaw  5 Erik Lovblom  12 Derek R MacFadden  13 Bruce Perkins  5 Kenneth J Rothman  14 Kristoffer G Skaarup  7 Nathan Stall  15 Terence Tang  6 Chris Yarnell  6 Jonathan Zipursky  16 Matthew T Warkentin  12 Mike Fralick  1 COVID-ACE Group Collaborators Affiliations

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Abstract

Background: There is wide variation in mortality among patients hospitalized with COVID-19. Whether this is related to patient or hospital factors is unknown.

Objective: To compare the risk of mortality for patients hospitalized with COVID-19 and to determine whether the majority of that variation was explained by differences in patient characteristics across sites.

Design, setting, and participants: An international multicenter cohort study of hospitalized adults with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 enrolled from 10 hospitals in Ontario, Canada and 8 hospitals in Copenhagen, Denmark between January 1, 2020 and November 11, 2020.

Main outcomes and measures: Inpatient mortality. We used a multivariable multilevel regression model to compare the in-hospital mortality risk across hospitals and quantify the variation attributable to patient-level factors.

Results: There were 1364 adults hospitalized with COVID-19 in Ontario (n = 1149) and in Denmark (n = 215). In Ontario, the absolute risk of in-hospital mortality ranged from 12.0% to 39.8% across hospitals. Ninety-eight percent of the variation in mortality in Ontario was explained by differences in the characteristics of the patients. In Denmark, the absolute risk of inpatients ranged from 13.8% to 20.6%. One hundred percent of the variation in mortality in Denmark was explained by differences in the characteristics of the inpatients.

Conclusion: There was wide variation in inpatient COVID-19 mortality across hospitals, which was largely explained by patient-level factors, such as age and severity of presenting illness. However, hospital-level factors that could have affected care, including resource availability and capacity, were not taken into account. These findings highlight potential limitations in comparing crude mortality rates across hospitals for the purposes of reporting on the quality of care.

© 2022 Society of Hospital Medicine.

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Conflict of interest statement

Mike Fralick is a consultant for ProofDx a start‐up company that has created a point‐of‐care test for COVID‐19 using CRISPR.

Figures

Figure 1

CONSORT diagram for the creation…

Figure 1

CONSORT diagram for the creation of the study sample. All adults hospitalized with…

Figure 1

CONSORT diagram for the creation of the study sample. All adults hospitalized with laboratory‐confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) between January 1, 2020 and November 11, 2020 across 10 hospitals in Ontario, Canada and 8 hospitals in Copenhagen, Denmark were included in the study.

Figure 2

Plots of key patient factors…

Figure 2

Plots of key patient factors and outcomes demonstrating variation across study sites among…

Figure 2

Plots of key patient factors and outcomes demonstrating variation across study sites among adults hospitalized with laboratory‐confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) between January 1, 2020 and November 11, 2020 across 10 hospitals in Ontario, Canada. All outcomes were censored at 30 days.

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