Observational Study
. 2020 Jun 20;395(10241):1919-1926. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31173-9. Epub 2020 May 28. COVID-19 mortality in patients with cancer on chemotherapy or other anticancer treatments: a prospective cohort study Jean-Baptiste Cazier 2 , Vasileios Angelis 3 , Roland Arnold 4 , Vartika Bisht 5 , Naomi A Campton 6 , Julia Chackathayil 7 , Vinton Wt Cheng 8 , Helen M Curley 4 , Matthew W Fittall 3 , Luke Freeman-Mills 9 , Spyridon Gennatas 3 , Anshita Goel 4 , Simon Hartley 10 , Daniel J Hughes 11 , David Kerr 12 , Alvin Jx Lee 13 , Rebecca J Lee 14 , Sophie E McGrath 3 , Christopher P Middleton 15 , Nirupa Murugaesu 16 , Thomas Newsom-Davis 17 , Alicia Fc Okines 3 , Anna C Olsson-Brown 18 , Claire Palles 4 , Yi Pan 15 , Ruth Pettengell 19 , Thomas Powles 20 , Emily A Protheroe 21 , Karin Purshouse 22 , Archana Sharma-Oates 23 , Shivan Sivakumar 24 , Ashley J Smith 25 , Thomas Starkey 4 , Chris D Turnbull 26 , Csilla Várnai 15 , Nadia Yousaf 3 ; UK Coronavirus Monitoring Project Team; Rachel Kerr 24 , Gary Middleton 27Affiliations
AffiliationsItem in Clipboard
Observational Study
COVID-19 mortality in patients with cancer on chemotherapy or other anticancer treatments: a prospective cohort studyLennard Yw Lee et al. Lancet. 2020.
. 2020 Jun 20;395(10241):1919-1926. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31173-9. Epub 2020 May 28. Authors Lennard Yw Lee 1 , Jean-Baptiste Cazier 2 , Vasileios Angelis 3 , Roland Arnold 4 , Vartika Bisht 5 , Naomi A Campton 6 , Julia Chackathayil 7 , Vinton Wt Cheng 8 , Helen M Curley 4 , Matthew W Fittall 3 , Luke Freeman-Mills 9 , Spyridon Gennatas 3 , Anshita Goel 4 , Simon Hartley 10 , Daniel J Hughes 11 , David Kerr 12 , Alvin Jx Lee 13 , Rebecca J Lee 14 , Sophie E McGrath 3 , Christopher P Middleton 15 , Nirupa Murugaesu 16 , Thomas Newsom-Davis 17 , Alicia Fc Okines 3 , Anna C Olsson-Brown 18 , Claire Palles 4 , Yi Pan 15 , Ruth Pettengell 19 , Thomas Powles 20 , Emily A Protheroe 21 , Karin Purshouse 22 , Archana Sharma-Oates 23 , Shivan Sivakumar 24 , Ashley J Smith 25 , Thomas Starkey 4 , Chris D Turnbull 26 , Csilla Várnai 15 , Nadia Yousaf 3 ; UK Coronavirus Monitoring Project Team; Rachel Kerr 24 , Gary Middleton 27 AffiliationsItem in Clipboard
Erratum in[No authors listed] [No authors listed] Lancet. 2020 Aug 22;396(10250):534. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31758-X. Lancet. 2020. PMID: 32828184 Free PMC article. No abstract available.
Background: Individuals with cancer, particularly those who are receiving systemic anticancer treatments, have been postulated to be at increased risk of mortality from COVID-19. This conjecture has considerable effect on the treatment of patients with cancer and data from large, multicentre studies to support this assumption are scarce because of the contingencies of the pandemic. We aimed to describe the clinical and demographic characteristics and COVID-19 outcomes in patients with cancer.
Methods: In this prospective observational study, all patients with active cancer and presenting to our network of cancer centres were eligible for enrolment into the UK Coronavirus Cancer Monitoring Project (UKCCMP). The UKCCMP is the first COVID-19 clinical registry that enables near real-time reports to frontline doctors about the effects of COVID-19 on patients with cancer. Eligible patients tested positive for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 on RT-PCR assay from a nose or throat swab. We excluded patients with a radiological or clinical diagnosis of COVID-19, without a positive RT-PCR test. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality, or discharge from hospital, as assessed by the reporting sites during the patient hospital admission.
Findings: From March 18, to April 26, 2020, we analysed 800 patients with a diagnosis of cancer and symptomatic COVID-19. 412 (52%) patients had a mild COVID-19 disease course. 226 (28%) patients died and risk of death was significantly associated with advancing patient age (odds ratio 9·42 [95% CI 6·56-10·02]; p<0·0001), being male (1·67 [1·19-2·34]; p=0·003), and the presence of other comorbidities such as hypertension (1·95 [1·36-2·80]; p<0·001) and cardiovascular disease (2·32 [1·47-3·64]). 281 (35%) patients had received cytotoxic chemotherapy within 4 weeks before testing positive for COVID-19. After adjusting for age, gender, and comorbidities, chemotherapy in the past 4 weeks had no significant effect on mortality from COVID-19 disease, when compared with patients with cancer who had not received recent chemotherapy (1·18 [0·81-1·72]; p=0·380). We found no significant effect on mortality for patients with immunotherapy, hormonal therapy, targeted therapy, radiotherapy use within the past 4 weeks.
Interpretation: Mortality from COVID-19 in cancer patients appears to be principally driven by age, gender, and comorbidities. We are not able to identify evidence that cancer patients on cytotoxic chemotherapy or other anticancer treatment are at an increased risk of mortality from COVID-19 disease compared with those not on active treatment.
Funding: University of Birmingham, University of Oxford.
Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
FiguresFigure 1
Prevalence of COVID-19 in Scotland,…
Figure 1
Prevalence of COVID-19 in Scotland, Wales, and regions of England Data are the…
Figure 1Prevalence of COVID-19 in Scotland, Wales, and regions of England Data are the average numbers of cases from reports per cancer centre region, up to April 26, 2020. Grey indicates no data available.
Figure 2
Age distribution of patients with…
Figure 2
Age distribution of patients with cancer in the cohort and relation to patient…
Figure 2Age distribution of patients with cancer in the cohort and relation to patient mortality
Figure 3
Relationship of chemotherapy use within…
Figure 3
Relationship of chemotherapy use within 4 weeks of confirmed COVID-19 and mortality and…
Figure 3Relationship of chemotherapy use within 4 weeks of confirmed COVID-19 and mortality and severity of disease course The vertical coloured bars denote the patient cohort, split into different groups. The grey horizontal bars denote associations between the different groups, with wider bars denoting more overlap.
Figure 4
Forest plots showing effect of…
Figure 4
Forest plots showing effect of anticancer treatments and mortality from COVID-19 Odds ratios…
Figure 4Forest plots showing effect of anticancer treatments and mortality from COVID-19 Odds ratios were adjusted for age, gender, and comorbidities. Whiskers indicated 95% CI.
Comment inPoortmans PM, Guarneri V, Cardoso MJ. Poortmans PM, et al. Lancet. 2020 Jun 20;395(10241):1884-1885. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31240-X. Epub 2020 May 29. Lancet. 2020. PMID: 32479827 Free PMC article. No abstract available.
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