The goal of bmabasket is to simulate basket trial data based on hyperparameters and analyze things such as the family-wise error rate, bias, and MSE. The package uses Bayesian model average (BMA) to compute the posterior probability that response within a basket exceeds some threshold.
install.packages("bmabasket")
# install.packages("devtools")
devtools::install_github("ethan-alt/bmabasket")
library(bmabasket)
## REPEAT SIMS FROM BIOSTATISTICS JOURNAL PUBLICATION
nSims <- 100 ## change to ~250000 to repeat journal results
meanTime <- 0.01
sdTime <- 0.0000000001
mu0 <- 0.45
phi0 <- 1.00
ppEffCrit <- 0.985
ppFutCrit <- 0.2750
pmp0 <- 2
n1 <- 7
n2 <- 16
targSSPer <- c(n1, n2)
nInterim <- 2
futOnly <- 1
K0 <- 5
row <- 0
mss <- 4
minSSFut <- mss ## minimum number of subjects in basket to assess futility using BMA
minSSEff <- mss ## minimum number of subjects in basket to assess activity using BMA
rTarg <- 0.45
rNull <- 0.15
rRatesMod <- matrix(rNull,(K0+1)+3,K0)
rRatesNull <- rep(rNull,K0)
rRatesMid <- rep(rTarg,K0)
eRatesMod <- rep(1, K0)
## min and max #' of new subjects per basket before next analysis (each row is interim)
minSSEnr <- matrix(rep(mss, K0), nrow=nInterim ,ncol=K0, byrow=TRUE)
maxSSEnr <- matrix(rep(100, K0), nrow=nInterim, ncol=K0, byrow=TRUE)
## construct matrix of rates
for (i in 1:K0)
{
rRatesMod[(i+1):(K0+1),i]= rTarg
}
rRatesMod[(K0+2),] <- c(0.05,0.15,0.25,0.35,0.45)
rRatesMod[(K0+3),] <- c(0.15,0.30,0.30,0.30,0.45)
rRatesMod[(K0+4),] <- c(0.15,0.15,0.30,0.30,0.30)
## conduct simulation of trial data and analysis
x <- bma_design(
nSims, K0, K0, eRatesMod, rRatesMod[i+1,], meanTime, sdTime,
ppEffCrit, ppFutCrit, as.logical(futOnly), rRatesNull, rRatesMid,
minSSFut, minSSEff, minSSEnr, maxSSEnr, targSSPer, nInterim, mu0,
phi0, priorModelProbs = NULL, pmp0 = pmp0
)
x
#> $hypothesis.testing
#> $hypothesis.testing$rr
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 0.92 0.85 0.86 0.87 0.84
#>
#> $hypothesis.testing$fw.fpr
#> [1] 0
#>
#> $hypothesis.testing$nerr
#> [1] 0
#>
#> $hypothesis.testing$fut
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 0.05 0.11 0.07 0.09 0.07
#>
#>
#> $sample.size
#> $sample.size$basket.ave
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 22.66 21.25 21.65 21.61 20.93
#>
#> $sample.size$basket.med
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 23 23 22 23 22
#>
#> $sample.size$basket.min
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 4 4 4 4 4
#>
#> $sample.size$basket.max
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 35 34 36 32 34
#>
#> $sample.size$overall.ave
#> [,1]
#> [1,] 108.1
#>
#>
#> $point.estimation
#> $point.estimation$PM.ave
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 0.4424834 0.4289148 0.4317818 0.4387614 0.4250887
#>
#> $point.estimation$SP.ave
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 0.4391716 0.4222146 0.4279804 0.435188 0.4190648
#>
#> $point.estimation$PP.ave
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 0.9711071 0.9174152 0.9445281 0.94365 0.9445365
#>
#> $point.estimation$bias
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] -0.007516613 -0.02108521 -0.01821818 -0.01123862 -0.02491135
#>
#> $point.estimation$mse
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5]
#> [1,] 0.009406759 0.02019997 0.01433251 0.01463391 0.01342345
#>
#>
#> $trial.duration
#> $trial.duration$average
#> [1] 61.73358
#>
#>
#> $early.stopping
#> $early.stopping$interim.stop.prob
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 0.03 0.97
#>
#> $early.stopping$baskets.continuing.ave
#> [,1] [,2]
#> [1,] 4.47 0.27
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