The Tropical Cyclone Risk Model is a stochastic tropical cyclone model developed by Geoscience Australia for estimating the wind hazard from tropical cyclones.
Due to the relatively short record of quality-controlled, consistent tropical cyclone observations, it is difficult to estimate average recurrence interval wind speeds ue to tropical cyclones. To overcome the restriction of observed data, TCRM uses an autoregressive model to generate thousands of years of events that are statistically similar to the historical record. To translate these events to estimated wind speeds, TCRM applies a parametric windfield and boundary layer model to each event. Finally an extreme value distribution is fitted to the aggregated windfields at each grid point in the model domain to provide ARI wind speed estimates.
TCRM requires:
- Python 3.7;
- numpy;
- scipy;
- matplotlib;
- Basemap;
- netcdf4-python;
- cftime;
- pandas;
- Shapely;
- seaborn;
- statsmodels;
- GitPython;
- GDAL/OGR;
- mpi4py;
- and gcc.
If you would like to take part in TCRM development, take a look at the Contributing guide.
This repository is licensed under the GNU General Public License. See the file LICENSE.rst for information on the history of this software, terms and conditions for usage, and a DISCLAIMER OF ALL WARRANTIES.
Community Safety Branch Geoscience Australia hazards@ga.gov.au
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