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Showing content from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Loss_of_load below:

Loss of load - Wikipedia

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Term for when the available generation capacity in an electrical grid is less than the system load

Loss of load in an electrical grid is a term used to describe the situation when the available generation capacity is less than the system load. Multiple probabilistic reliability indices for the generation systems are using loss of load in their definitions, with the more popular being Loss of Load Probability (LOLP) that characterizes a probability of a loss of load occurring within a year. Loss of load events are calculated before the mitigating actions (purchasing electricity from other systems, load shedding) are taken, so a loss of load does not necessarily cause a blackout.

Loss-of-load-based reliability indices[edit]

Multiple reliability indices for the electrical generation are based on the loss of load being observed/calculated over a long interval (one or multiple years) in relatively small increments (an hour or a day). The total number of increments inside the long interval is designated as N {\displaystyle N} (e.g., for a yearlong interval N = 365 {\displaystyle N=365} if the increment is a day, N = 8760 {\displaystyle N=8760} if the increment is an hour):

One-day-in-ten-years criterion[edit]

A typically accepted design goal for L O L E {\displaystyle LOLE} is 0.1 day per year ("one-day-in-ten-years criterion" a.k.a. "1 in 10"), corresponding to L O L P = 1 10 ⋅ 365 ≈ 0.000274 {\displaystyle {LOLP}={\frac {1}{10\cdot 365}}\approx 0.000274} . In the US, the threshold is set by the regional entities, like Northeast Power Coordinating Council:

resources will be planned in such a manner that ... the probability of disconnecting non-interruptible customers will be no more than once in ten years


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