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2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial election - Wikipedia

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The 2018 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Oklahoma. Incumbent Republican governor Mary Fallin was term-limited, and was prohibited by the Constitution of Oklahoma from seeking a third term. Republican Businessman Kevin Stitt was elected with 54.3% of the vote, defeating Democratic nominee and former Oklahoma attorney general Drew Edmondson.

Primary elections occurred on June 26, 2018. Edmondson won the Democratic nomination outright. Stitt, however, faced a runoff election against former Oklahoma City mayor Mick Cornett. On August 28, 2018, Stitt won the Republican primary runoff and became the Republican nominee for the office. The Libertarian Party also held a primary, which advanced to a runoff, with Chris Powell, a former chair of the Libertarian Party of Oklahoma, winning the nomination.[1][2]

Stitt won the general election with 54.33% of the vote. This was the first time ever that the Libertarian Party was on the ballot in a gubernatorial election in Oklahoma,[3] and the only time since 1986 that a candidate from the incumbent president's party was elected Governor of Oklahoma.

A member of the Cherokee Nation, Stitt became the first tribally enrolled Native American to serve as governor of a U.S. state.[4] Despite his victory, Stitt lost four counties that voted Republican in the 2016 U.S. presidential race: Cherokee, Cleveland, Muskogee, and Oklahoma.

Republican primary[edit] Eliminated in the primary runoff[edit] Eliminated in the initial primary[edit]

Mick Cornett

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Kevin Stitt

U.S. executive branch officials
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Initial primary results by county:

  Cornett

  Stitt

  Lamb

  Fisher

Pre-runoff report due August 20, 2018 Candidate Total
raised Total
spent Total
cash-on-hand Kevin Stitt $6,542,863.91 $6,018,662.13 $368,557.72 Mick Cornett $3,242,795.74 $2,826,305.70 $336,691.50 Poll source Date(s)
administered Sample
size Margin
of error Mick
Cornett Kevin
Stitt Undecided Remington (R)[71] August 1–2, 2018 1,757 ± 2.3% 37% 47% 16% Right Strategy Group (R)[72] August 1–2, 2018 385 ± 5.0% 33% 41% 26% SoonerPoll[73] July 18–20, 2018 483 ± 4.5% 37% 37% 25% Primary runoff results by county:

  Stitt

  Cornett

Democratic primary[edit] Eliminated in the primary[edit] Poll source Date(s)
administered Sample
size Margin
of error Drew
Edmondson Connie
Johnson Undecided Right Strategy Group (R)[61] June 6–7, 2018 – – 45% 11% 45% SoonerPoll[64] May 15–23, 2018 297 ± 5.7% 44% 14% 43% Results by county:

  Edmondson

Libertarian primary[edit] Eliminated in the primary runoff[edit] Eliminated in the initial primary[edit]

Chris Powell

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Individuals
Initial primary results by county:

Powell

Powell/Lawhorn tie

Lawhorn

Exotic

No votes

Pre-runoff report due August 20, 2018 Candidate Total
raised Total
spent Total
cash-on-hand Chris Powell $10,142.88 $6,991.02 $3,017.51 Rex L. Lawhorn $4,575.00 $5,286.87 ($736.87) Primary runoff results by county:

Powell

Powell/Lawhorn tie

Lawhorn

No votes

Oklahoma general election ballot for 2018

Oklahoma determines ballot order by a random drawing which took place for this election cycle on July 12, resulting in the Libertarian Party being listed first, Republicans second, and Democrats third.[100]

Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report[101] Tossup October 26, 2018 The Washington Post[102] Lean R November 5, 2018 FiveThirtyEight[103] Likely R November 5, 2018 Rothenberg Political Report[104] Lean R November 1, 2018 Sabato's Crystal Ball[105] Lean R November 5, 2018 RealClearPolitics[106] Lean R November 4, 2018 Daily Kos[107] Lean R November 5, 2018 Fox News[108][a] Likely R November 5, 2018 Politico[109] Lean R November 5, 2018 Governing[110] Lean R November 5, 2018
Notes
  1. ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered Sample
size Margin
of error Kevin
Stitt (R) Drew
Edmondson (D) Chris
Powell (L) Undecided SoonerPoll[111] October 31 – November 3, 2018 338 ± 5.3% 47% 44% 3% 6% SoonerPoll[112] October 23–25, 2018 447 ± 4.6% 46% 42% 4% 8% Magellan Strategies (R)[113] October 22–23, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 51% 44% 1% 4% Cole Hargrave Snodgrass (R)[114] September 25–29, 2018 500 ± 4.3% 46% 40% 4% – Right Strategy Group (R)[115] September 25–26, 2018 1,058 ± 3.0% 47% 43% 2% 8% SoonerPoll[116] September 5–10, 2018 407 ± 4.9% 47% 44% 3% 6% Right Strategy Group (R)[72] August 1–2, 2018 737 ± 4.0% 41% 42% – 17% SoonerPoll[117] July 18–20, 2018 404 ± 4.9% 39% 40% – 21% SoonerPoll[118] May 15–23, 2018 622 ± 3.9% 25% 32% – 43%

Stitt won 73 counties, while Edmondson won four. Stitt won 56 counties with at least 60% of the popular vote, 14 counties with at least 70%, and three counties – Beaver, Cimarron, and Ellis – with upwards of 80%. Stitt had the largest margin of victory in Cimarron with 73.09% more votes than Edmondson's 12.27%, the latter's lowest county performance in the election. The largest county per vote count won by Stitt was Tulsa County, home of Tulsa. Oklahoma County, of which Oklahoma City is county seat, was the only county where Stitt failed to acquire three out of every seven votes.[119]

Edmondson won Muskogee by a single vote, and had an 11.84% margin of victory – his only margin of victory above 10% – in Oklahoma County. Edmondson won his four counties with typically narrower margins than that of Stitt, having missed 50% of the popular vote in Muskogee.[119] Powell never came close to winning any counties, but won his highest percentage of votes in Washita County, with 4.97%[119]

County Stitt Votes Edmondson Votes Powell Votes Total Adair 61.61% 3,187 33.73% 1,745 4.66% 241 5,173 Alfalfa 74.01% 1,333 21.71% 391 4.28% 77 1,801 Atoka 69.05% 2,789 28.6% 1,155 2.35% 95 4,039 Beaver 80.82% 1,454 15.12% 272 4.06% 73 1,799 Beckham 71.18% 4,061 24.47% 1,396 4.35% 248 5,705 Blaine 65.73% 1,941 30.1% 889 4.17% 123 2,953 Bryan 64.33% 7,301 33.01% 3,746 2.66% 302 11,349 Caddo 54.97% 4,047 41.33% 3,043 3.69% 272 7,362 Canadian 59.65% 27,410 36.44% 16,744 3.91% 1,797 45,951 Carter 64.91% 9,090 31.74% 4,445 3.35% 469 14,004 Cherokee 45.58% 6,336 50.14% 6,970 4.28% 595 13,901 Choctaw 65.28% 2,634 31.87% 1,286 2.85% 115 4,035 Cimarron 85.36% 682 12.27% 98 2.38% 19 799 Cleveland 45.87% 42,268 50.62% 46,648 3.51% 3,231 92,147 Coal 61.05% 1,127 35.7% 659 3.25% 60 1,846 Comanche 49.66% 13,180 46.48% 12,336 3.87% 1,027 26,543 Cotton 65.44% 1,312 29.83% 598 4.74% 95 2,005 Craig 60.4% 2,863 36.14% 1,713 3.46% 164 4,740 Creek 65.53% 14,870 31.06% 7,048 3.42% 775 22,693 Custer 63.21% 5,239 32.76% 2,615 4.03% 334 8,288 Delaware 65.21% 8,543 31.4% 4,114 3.39% 444 13,101 Dewey 79.41% 1,404 17.82% 315 2.77% 49 1,768 Ellis 80.3% 1,186 15.98% 236 3.72% 55 1,477 Garfield 63.36% 11,008 32.31% 5,613 4.34% 754 17,375 Garvin 64.91% 5,140 31.7% 2,510 3.4% 269 7,919 Grady 65.16% 11,173 30.8% 5,281 4.05% 694 17,148 Grant 73.36% 1,250 22.18% 378 4.46% 76 1,704 Greer 64.22% 946 31.84% 469 3.94% 58 1,473 Harmon 59.38% 443 37.13% 277 3.49% 26 746 Harper 78.35% 948 17.69% 214 3.97% 48 1,210 Haskell 63.44% 2,348 33.67% 1,246 2.89% 107 3,701 Hughes 60.73% 2,323 34.93% 1,336 4.34% 166 3,825 Jackson 66.31% 4,301 30.67% 1,989 3.02% 196 6,486 Jefferson 70.04% 1,099 27.02% 424 2.93% 46 1,569 Johnston 65.45% 1,976 31.86% 962 2.68% 81 3,019 Kay 60.51% 7,859 35.28% 4,582 4.22% 548 12,989 Kingfisher 75.23% 3,846 20.81% 1,064 3.95% 202 5,112 Kiowa 60.61% 1,645 35.81% 972 3.57% 97 2,714 Latimer 58.8% 1,774 37.25% 1,125 3.91% 118 3,017 Le Flore 62.56% 8,009 34.89% 4,467 2.55% 327 12,803 Lincoln 64.94% 7,323 30.31% 3,418 4.74% 535 11,276 Logan 62.09% 9,847 33.87% 5,371 4.04% 641 15,859 Love 68.69% 1,902 29.18% 808 2.13% 59 2,769 Major 79.28% 2,177 17.12% 470 3.61% 99 2,746 Marshall 66.66% 2,943 30.6% 1,351 2.74% 121 4,415 Mayes 60.63% 7,837 35.62% 4,604 3.76% 486 12,927 McClain 65.35% 9,021 31.05% 4,286 3.6% 497 13,804 McCurtain 68.43% 5,178 29.22% 2,211 2.35% 178 7,567 McIntosh 54.56% 3,612 42.07% 2,785 3.37% 223 6,620 Murray 62.97% 2,751 33.03% 1,443 4.01% 175 4,369 Muskogee 48.30% 9,515 48.31% 9,516 3.39% 668 19,699 Noble 63.83% 2,543 31.43% 1,252 4.74% 189 3,984 Nowata 66.14% 2,319 28.98% 1,016 4.88% 171 3,506 Okfuskee 56.44% 1,752 39.98% 1,241 3.58% 111 3,104 Oklahoma 42.38% 98,994 54.22% 126,667 3.4% 7,938 233,599 Okmulgee 52.96% 5,846 43.93% 4,849 3.11% 343 11,043 Osage 56.2% 8,629 40.39% 6,202 3.21% 524 15,355 Ottawa 55.74% 4,752 41.08% 3,502 3.18% 271 8,525 Pawnee 62.42% 3,076 33.38% 1,645 4.2% 207 4,928 Payne 49.18% 11,193 46.8% 10,650 4.02% 914 22,757 Pittsburg 59.66% 7,986 36.17% 4,842 4.16% 557 13,385 Pontotoc 52.43% 6,233 44.52% 5,293 3.05% 363 11,889 Pottawatomie 57.06% 11,996 38.5% 8,093 4.44% 933 21,022 Pushmataha 63.07% 2,102 33.18% 1,106 3.75% 125 3,333 Roger Mills 77.13% 1,157 18.87% 283 4% 60 1,500 Rogers 64.76% 21,450 32.02% 10,605 3.23% 1,069 33,124 Seminole 55.99% 3,681 39.66% 2,607 4.35% 286 6,574 Sequoyah 58.31% 6,695 39.02% 4,480 2.67% 307 11,482 Stephens 67.48% 9,314 29.57% 4,081 2.95% 407 13,802 Texas 74.84% 3,097 21.6% 894 3.55% 147 4,138 Tillman 62.89% 1,315 34.24% 716 2.87% 60 2,091 Tulsa 50.11% 101,518 47.07% 95,350 2.82% 5,716 202,584 Wagoner 63% 16,346 33.53% 8,700 3.47% 901 7,276 Washington 62.96% 11,226 33.74% 6,017 3.3% 588 17,831 Washita 69.72% 2,653 25.31% 963 4.97% 189 3,805 Woods 67.83% 1,929 28.02% 797 4.15% 118 2,844 Woodward 73.35% 4,326 23.53% 1,388 3.12% 184 5,898

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district[edit]

Stitt won four of five congressional districts.[120]

  1. ^ "2018 Election Calendar". Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved May 14, 2018.
  2. ^ "Pre-Runoff Finance Reports: Governor's race". www.muskogeepolitico.com.
  3. ^ "Three Libertarians competing in party's first Oklahoma gubernatorial primary". NewsOK.com. April 2, 2018.
  4. ^ "Only one state makes history with election of first Native governor". Indianz.com. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
  5. ^ "2018: Kevin Stitt Announces Republican Bid For Governor". July 17, 2017. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  6. ^ "Oklahoma City Mayor Mick Cornett announces plan to run for governor". KFOR.com. May 31, 2017. Retrieved June 1, 2017.
  7. ^ "Christopher Barnett for Governor". chrisforgov.com. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  8. ^ "Former Rep. Lawmaker Dan Fisher To Run For State Governor". Associated Press. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  9. ^ a b c "Candidate Filings, 2018". www.ok.gov. Archived from the original on November 25, 2020. Retrieved May 22, 2018.
  10. ^ Murphy, Sean (May 8, 2017). "Oklahoma Auditor Gary Jones to Run for Governor in 2018". U.S. News & World Report. Retrieved May 18, 2017.
  11. ^ "Lt. Governor Todd Lamb files candidacy paperwork for 2018 governor's race". KFOR.com. April 7, 2017. Retrieved June 1, 2017.
  12. ^ Felder, Ben (April 24, 2017). "Richardson announces run for governor, seeks Republican ticket". The Oklahoman. Retrieved April 24, 2017.
  13. ^ "Former Mayor Adams Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  14. ^ "Former Mayor Bartlett Jr. Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  15. ^ "Mayor Burdge Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  16. ^ "Mayor Cathey Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  17. ^ "Mayor Copeland Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  18. ^ "Former Mayor Douglas Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  19. ^ "Mayor Fitch Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  20. ^ "Facebook". Facebook. August 24, 2018.
  21. ^ "Mayor Linley Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  22. ^ "Former Mayor Naifeh Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  23. ^ "Mayor Nicholson Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  24. ^ "Former Mayor Ross Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  25. ^ "Mayor Sheway Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  26. ^ "WHAT A SHOCK! Mayor Shockley Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  27. ^ "Mayor Smiley Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  28. ^ "Mayor Thurmond Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  29. ^ "Mayor Petersen Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  30. ^ "Mayor White Endorses MICK!". Mick Cornett for Oklahoma Governor. July 13, 2018. Archived from the original on July 29, 2018. Retrieved July 28, 2018.
  31. ^ "Richardson Endorses Mick". Mick 2018. June 29, 2018. Archived from the original on August 3, 2018. Retrieved August 2, 2018.
  32. ^ "Mick Cornett Endorsed by Oklahomans for Public Education". Mick 2018. June 6, 2018. Archived from the original on June 22, 2018. Retrieved June 22, 2018.
  33. ^ "The Oklahoman Endorses Mick Cornett". Mick 2018. July 7, 2018. Archived from the original on August 7, 2018. Retrieved August 7, 2018.
  34. ^ "Tulsa World editorial: We could hope for better, but Mick Cornett is the best choice available on the GOP governor's ballot". Tulsa World. June 9, 2018.
  35. ^ "The Yukon Review Endorses Mick Cornett!". Mick 2018. June 23, 2018. Archived from the original on July 4, 2018. Retrieved July 3, 2018.
  36. ^ "REP. STEVE RUSSELL ENDORSES LAMB FOR GOVERNOR". Todd Lamb for Oklahoma Governor. September 18, 2017. Archived from the original on June 12, 2018. Retrieved June 9, 2018.
  37. ^ "Todd Lamb Officially Files for Governor; Retired General Tommy Franks Offers Endorsement". Todd Lamb for Oklahoma Governor. April 11, 2018. Archived from the original on June 12, 2018. Retrieved June 9, 2018.
  38. ^ Casteel, Chris (May 3, 2018). "Donald Trump Jr. talks politics, hunting at fundraiser for Lamb". NewsOK.
  39. ^ "OKAgFund endorses, funds candidates in state elections". Oklahoma Farm Bureau. May 22, 2018.
  40. ^ [1][dead link]
  41. ^ "Log In or Sign Up to View". www.facebook.com.
  42. ^ "Endorsement: Gary Richardson For Governor". Sooner Politics.org.
  43. ^ "The Edmond Republican GROUP". www.facebook.com.
  44. ^ "VP Mike Pence campaigns for Kevin Stitt in Tulsa". NewsOK. Associated Press. October 18, 2018.
  45. ^ Donald J. Trump (August 30, 2018). "Kevin Stitt ran a great winning campaign against a very tough opponent in Oklahoma. Kevin is a very successful businessman who will be a fantastic Governor. He is strong on Crime & Borders, the 2nd Amendment, & loves our Military & Vets. He has my complete and total Endorsement!". Twitter.
  46. ^ "President Donald Trump endorses Kevin Stitt: He 'will be a fantastic governor'". Tulsa World. August 31, 2018.
  47. ^ "Tom Coburn endorses Stitt for governor". August 21, 2018. Retrieved August 22, 2018.
  48. ^ "Senator Ted Cruz endorses Kevin Stitt for governor". August 22, 2018. Retrieved August 22, 2018.
  49. ^ Hutchison, Will (October 16, 2018). "Inhofe endorses Stitt, talks Trump, Kavanaugh". KSWO.
  50. ^ "Rick Santorum Endorsement". YouTube. August 6, 2018. Retrieved August 17, 2018.
  51. ^ Kevin Stitt. "Another big endorsement to announce! We've received the endorsement and support of Former Congressman Bill Brewster. Our team is growing every single day and we're building undeniable momentum in the final weeks of this campaign. Thrilled to have Bill on the team!". Twitter.
  52. ^ "CONGRESSMAN FRANK LUCAS ENDORSES KEVIN STITT FOR GOVERNOR". Kevin Stitt for Governor. October 15, 2018. Archived from the original on October 23, 2018.
  53. ^ Kevin Stitt. "I'm excited to announce our campaign has received the endorsement of former 3rd District Congressmen Wes Watkins. I appreciate the support, and the kind words about our campaign to make Oklahoma a Top Ten state!". Twitter.
  54. ^ Mitchell Willetts and Janelle Stecklein (September 10, 2018). "Fallin endorses Stitt for Governor". Enid News & Eagle.
  55. ^ Randy Krehbiel (November 10, 2018). "Mick Cornett endorses his primary opponent Kevin Stitt for governor". Tulsa World.
  56. ^ "Blake Stephens endorses Stitt". Blake Stephens Facebook. September 5, 2018.
  57. ^ Kevin Stitt (June 7, 2018). "It's an honor to be endorsed by Tulsa Firefighters @IAFFLocal176! A Stitt admin is going to deliver accountability &efficiency for every taxpayer $ spent in order to provide funding certainty to core services like public safety, education & infrastructure". Twitter.
  58. ^ "Small Business Endorses Kevin Stitt for Governor". NFIB. October 16, 2018.
  59. ^ "Kevin Stitt deserves nod in Oklahoma governor's race". The Oklahoman. October 21, 2018.
  60. ^ "Tulsa World endorsement: In the race for governor, Kevin Stitt is the better agent of change". Tulsa World. October 21, 2018.
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  62. ^ Oklahoma Strategic Solutions (R-Richardson)
  63. ^ Right Strategy Group (R)
  64. ^ a b SoonerPoll Archived 2021-11-30 at the Wayback Machine
  65. ^ Magellan Strategies
  66. ^ a b SoonerPoll
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  69. ^ SoonerPoll
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  98. ^ a b "Quick 5: Libertarians seeking governor's post address issues". August 25, 2018.
  99. ^ "RDR talks to Libertarian gubernatorial candidate Chris Powell". September 19, 2018.
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  109. ^ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
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  111. ^ SoonerPoll
  112. ^ SoonerPoll Archived October 31, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  113. ^ Magellan Strategies (R)
  114. ^ Cole Hargrave Snodgrass (R)
  115. ^ Right Strategy Group (R)
  116. ^ SoonerPoll Archived September 12, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  117. ^ a b SoonerPoll Archived September 12, 2018, at the Wayback Machine
  118. ^ a b c SoonerPoll Archived 2018-11-10 at the Wayback Machine
  119. ^ a b c "OK Election Results". Okelections.us. Retrieved November 17, 2020.
  120. ^ https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::bae848ae-a6fd-4647-a2fc-3af07978eb28

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