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1996 Australian federal election - Wikipedia

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The 1996 Australian federal election was held to determine the members of the 38th Parliament of Australia. It was held on 2 March 1996. All 148 seats of the House of Representatives and 40 seats of the 76-seat Senate were up for election. The Liberal/National Coalition led by Opposition Leader John Howard of the Liberal Party and coalition partner Tim Fischer of the National Party defeated the incumbent Australian Labor Party government led by Prime Minister Paul Keating in a landslide victory. The Coalition won 94 seats in the House of Representatives, the equal-largest number of seats won by a federal government to date (tied with Labor's win in 2025), and only the second time a party had won over 90 seats at a federal election; the first occurred in 1975.

The election marked the end of the five-term, 13-year Hawke-Keating Government that began in 1983. Howard was sworn in as the new prime minister of Australia on 11 March 1996, along with the First Howard Ministry. This election was the start of the 11-year Howard Government; the Labor party would spend this period in opposition and would not return to government until the 2007 election.

This was the first federal election that future prime minister Tony Abbott contested as a member of parliament, having entered parliament at the 1994 Warringah by-election. Future prime minister Anthony Albanese and future opposition leader Brendan Nelson also entered parliament at this election.

Future prime ministers Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard were unsuccessful candidates for the House of Representatives and Senate respectively, but were elected to the House of Representatives at the next election, in 1998.

Howard became the first Liberal leader to win an election from opposition since Robert Menzies in 1949. (Malcolm Fraser was caretaker prime minister in the 1975 election.) The victory also saw the Liberal Party gain enough seats to not require the support of the National Party, though John Howard opted to stay in the Coalition. As of 2025, this is the last time the Liberal Party has won an overall majority of seats in federal parliament. It is also the last where both major party leaders were born prior to 1946, the first year of the Post-war era.

John Howard, who had previously led the Liberal Party from 1985 to 1989, returned to the leadership in January 1995 following the party's disastrous eight months under the leadership of Alexander Downer. Downer and deputy PM Peter Costello had succeeded John Hewson and Michael Wooldridge early in 1994 and were touted as the leaders of the new-generation Liberals. In the end, the party opted for the seasoned Howard, perhaps an acknowledgement that he was the only one left standing after a decade of party infighting.

Howard approached the campaign with a determination to present as small a target as possible. Throughout 1995 he refused to detail specific policy proposals, focusing the Coalition's attacks mainly on the longevity and governing record of the Labor government. By 1996, however, it was clear that the electorate had tired of Labor and in particular of Paul Keating. The line "The recession we had to have" resonated with deadly force throughout the electorate. Although Keating's big-picture approach to republicanism, reconciliation with Australia's Indigenous peoples and engagement with Asia galvanised support within Labor's urban constituencies, Howard was able to attract support amongst disaffected mainstream Australians, uniting middle-class suburban residents with traditionally Labor-voting blue-collar workers. He also promised to retain Medicare and hold a constitutional convention to decide whether Australia would become a republic.

The election-eve Newspoll reported the Liberal/National Coalition held an estimated 53.5 percent two-party-preferred vote.[1]

On election day, the news was dominated by the Ralph Willis letter. Treasurer Ralph Willis had released a letter purporting to be secret correspondence between Howard and Liberal Premier of Victoria, Jeff Kennett. Howard quickly denounced the letter as a forgery and claims of Labor skulduggery dominated the last day, drowning out anything Keating said. The letter was subsequently revealed to be the work of university students.[citation needed] Left-wing writer Bob Ellis claimed that the Ralph Willis letter was the cause of Keating's crushing defeat.

House of Representatives results[edit] Government (94)
Coalition
  Liberal (75)
  National (18)
  CLP (1)

Opposition (49)


  Labor (49)

Crossbench (5)


  Independent (5) House of Reps (IRV) – 1996–1998 – Turnout 94.99% (CV) — Informal 3.78% Party Votes % Swing Seats Change     Liberal 4,210,689 38.69 +1.92 75 26   National 893,170 8.21 +1.04 18 2   Country Liberal 38,302 0.35 +0.02 1 1 Liberal/National Coalition 5,142,161 47.25 +2.98 94 29   Labor 4,217,765 38.75 −6.17 49 31   Democrats 735,848 6.76 +3.01   Greens[a] 317,654 2.92 +1.09   Independents 262,420 2.41 −0.73 5 3 Others 208,004 1.91 +1.05   Total 10,883,852     148 1 Two-party-preferred vote   Liberal–National coalition Win 53.63 +5.07 94 29   Labor   46.37 −5.07 49 31 Popular vote Labor 38.75% Liberal 38.69% National 8.21% Democrats 6.76% Greens 1.74% CLP 0.35% Independents 2.27% Other 3.23% Two-party-preferred vote Coalition 53.63% Labor 46.37% Parliament seats Coalition 63.51% Labor 33.11% Independents 3.38% Government (37)
Coalition
  Liberal (31)
  National (5)
  CLP (1)

Opposition (29)


  Labor (29)

Crossbench (10)


  Democrats (7)
  Greens (2)
  Independent (1) Senate (STV GV) — 1996–99 – Turnout 95.20% (CV) — Informal 3.89% Party Votes % Swing Seats won Seats held Change     Liberal–National joint ticket 2,669,377 24.49 +0.09 6 N/A   Liberal 1,770,486 16.24 +0.65 12 31 2   National 312,769 2.87 +0.15 1 5 1   Country Liberal 40,050 0.37 +0.04 1 1 Liberal–National coalition 4,792,682 43.97 +0.92 20 37 1   Labor 3,940,150 36.15 −7.35 14 29 1   Democrats 1,179,357 10.82 +5.51 5 7   Greens[b] 345,513 3.17 +0.67 1 2   Others [c] 641,335 5.88 0 1 Total 10,899,037     40 76 Invalid/blank votes 395,442 3.5 Turnout 11,294,479 96.2 Registered voters 11,740,568 Source: Federal Elections 1996 House of Reps preference flows[edit] Seats changing hands[edit] Seat Pre-1996 Swing Post-1996 Party Member Margin Margin Member Party Bass, Tas   Labor Silvia Smith 0.03 4.60 4.57 Warwick Smith Liberal   Bowman, Qld   Labor Con Sciacca 8.14 9.03 0.89 Andrea West Liberal   Calare, NSW   Labor David Simmons N/A N/A 13.32 Peter Andren Independent   Canberra, ACT[d]   Labor Ros Kelly 9.56 2.04 7.52 Bob McMullan Labor     Liberal Brendan Smyth[e] 6.58 14.1 Canning, WA   Labor George Gear 0.19 0.88 0.69 Ricky Johnston Liberal   Capricornia, Qld   Labor Marjorie Henzell 2.78 6.40 3.62 Paul Marek National   Curtin, WA   Liberal Allan Rocher N/A N/A 7.28 Allan Rocher Independent   Dickson, Qld   Labor Michael Lavarch 2.55 5.72 3.17 Tony Smith Liberal   Eden-Monaro, NSW   Labor Jim Snow 4.27 9.03 4.76 Gary Nairn Liberal   Gilmore, NSW   Labor Peter Knott 0.45 6.69 6.24 Joanna Gash Liberal   Griffith, Qld   Labor Ben Humphreys 5.90 7.37 1.47 Graeme McDougall Liberal   Herbert, Qld   Labor Ted Lindsay 3.31 9.90 6.59 Peter Lindsay Liberal   Hughes, NSW   Labor Robert Tickner 6.42 11.31 4.89 Danna Vale Liberal   Kalgoorlie, WA   Labor Graeme Campbell N/A N/A 10.35 Graeme Campbell Independent   Kingston, SA   Labor Gordon Bilney 1.45 3.46 2.01 Susan Jeanes Liberal   Leichhardt, Qld   Labor Peter Dodd 1.33 5.51 4.18 Warren Entsch Liberal   Lilley, Qld   Labor Wayne Swan 6.18 6.91 0.73 Elizabeth Grace Liberal   Lindsay, NSW   Labor Ross Free 10.22 11.80 1.58 Jackie Kelly[2] Liberal   Lowe, NSW   Labor Mary Easson 5.01 7.48 2.47 Paul Zammit Liberal   Macarthur, NSW   Labor Chris Haviland 1.28 11.97 10.69 John Fahey Liberal   Macquarie, NSW   Labor Maggie Deahm 0.12 6.48 6.36 Kerry Bartlett Liberal   Makin, SA   Labor Peter Duncan 3.71 4.79 1.08 Trish Draper Liberal   McEwen, Vic   Labor Peter Cleeland 0.69 1.50 2.19 Fran Bailey Liberal   McMillan, Vic   Labor Barry Cunningham 0.53 2.60 2.07 Russell Broadbent Liberal   Moore, WA   Liberal Paul Filing N/A N/A 15.48 Paul Filing Independent   Moreton, Qld   Labor Garrie Gibson 0.21 5.30 5.09 Gary Hardgrave Liberal   Murray, Vic   National Bruce Lloyd N/A N/A 3.70* Sharman Stone Liberal   North Sydney, NSW   Independent Ted Mack 1.8 17.4 15.6 Joe Hockey Liberal   Northern Territory, NT   Labor Warren Snowdon 5.31 5.68 0.37 Nick Dondas Country Liberal   Oxley, Qld   Labor Les Scott 14.65 19.31** 4.66 Pauline Hanson[f] Independent   Page, NSW   Labor Harry Woods 0.13 4.44 4.31 Ian Causley National   Parramatta, NSW   Labor Paul Elliott 3.24 7.11 3.87 Ross Cameron Liberal   Paterson, NSW   Labor Bob Horne 3.30 3.73 0.43 Bob Baldwin Liberal   Petrie, Qld   Labor Gary Johns 2.15 9.85 7.70 Teresa Gambaro Liberal   Richmond, NSW   Labor Neville Newell 1.78 8.53 6.75 Larry Anthony National   Robertson, NSW   Labor Frank Walker 5.56 9.12 3.56 Jim Lloyd Liberal   Swan, WA   Labor Kim Beazley 0.22 3.93 3.71 Don Randall Liberal   Wills, Vic   Independent Phil Cleary n/a 4.37 n/a Kelvin Thomson Labor  

Overall the coalition won 29 seats from Labor while the ALP won 4 seats from the Liberals. These 4 seats were Canberra and Namadgi in the ACT and Isaacs and Bruce in Victoria. The ACT seats, which had been won by the Liberals in a by-election, fell to Labor due to a strong return to the ALP in a traditional Labor town by public servants fearing conservative cuts. The division of Brendan Smyth's seat of Canberra into the two new (of the three) ACT seats limited his campaign to the southernmost Tuggeranong seat of Namadgi where the ACT Labor right wing stood former MLA Annette Ellis who ran a tight grassroots campaign. Isaacs and Bruce fell to Labor due to demographic changes due to a redistribution of electoral boundaries.

The Gallagher Index result: 11.14

Labor lost five percent of its two-party vote from 1993, and tallied its lowest primary vote since 1934 (an additional eight percent coming from preferences). The swing against Labor would not normally have been enough in and of itself to cause a change of government. However, Labor lost 13 of its 33 seats in New South Wales, and all but two of its 13 seats in Queensland. The 29-seat swing was the second-largest defeat, in terms of seats lost, by a sitting government in Australia. Three members of Keating's government – including Attorney-General Michael Lavarch – lost their seats. Keating resigned as Labor leader on the night of the election, and was succeeded by former deputy prime minister and Finance Minister Kim Beazley.

Due in part to this large swing, Howard entered office with a 45-seat majority, the second-largest in Australian history (behind only the 55-seat majority won by Malcolm Fraser in 1975). The Liberals actually won a majority in their own right at this election with 75 seats, the most the party had ever won. Although Howard had no need for the support of the Nationals, the Coalition was retained. As of 2025[update], this was the last time the Liberals have won a majority in their own right at a federal election.

Exit polling showed the Coalition winning 47 percent of the blue-collar vote, compared with Labor's 39 percent; there was a 16-point drop in Labor's vote among members of trade unions. The Coalition won 48 percent of the Catholic vote and Labor 37 percent, a reversal of the usual figures.[3]

  1. ^ The Australian Greens were founded in 1992, but not all local organisations immediately affiliated. The Greens total includes Australian Greens, Greens Western Australia, Victorian Greens, Tasmanian Greens, Central Coast Green Party, and Richmond/Clarence Greens.
  2. ^ Includes votes for the federal Australian Greens (261,677) as well as Greens Western Australia (57,006) and the Tasmanian Greens (26,830), which had not yet aligned with the federal party.
  3. ^ The independent senator was Brian Harradine (Tasmania).
  4. ^ Ros Kelly (Labor) had won Canberra at the 1993 election, however she resigned in 1995 and Brendan Smyth (Liberal) won the seat at the resulting by-election.
  5. ^ Brendan Smyth (Liberal) had won Canberra at the 1995 by-election, however he contested the new seat of Namadgi.
  6. ^ Originally ran as a Liberal candidate, however after her views on immigration became known she was disendorsed. However, because the election was being held very soon after many ballot papers listed her as a Liberal. Therefore, John Howard made it clear if she were to win she would not sit as a Liberal MP so she resigned from the party and sat as an Independent. Flipping the seat from Labor to Independent.

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