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Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020

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• Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020
• ¹ , Xinxin Hao¹ , Eric H Y Lau¹ , Jessica Y Wong¹ , Kathy S M Leung¹ , Joseph T Wu¹ , Benjamin J Cowling^1,2 , Gabriel M Leung^1,2

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  Correspondence:  Benjamin J Cowling

  bcowling hku.hk

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A novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) causing severe acute respiratory disease emerged recently in Wuhan, China. Information on reported cases strongly indicates human-to-human spread, and the most recent information is increasingly indicative of sustained human-to-human transmission. While the overall severity profile among cases may change as more mild cases are identified, we estimate a risk of fatality among hospitalised cases at 14% (95% confidence interval: 3.9–32%).

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2020-01-23

2025-05-11

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