JUSTICES NEIL GORSUCH AND BRETT KAVANAUGH EXPRESS SYMPATHY FOR INDEPENDENT VOTERS
On October 5, the U.S. Supreme Court heard Carney v Adams, 19-309. This is the case over Delaware’s Constitution, which says that no one is eligible to be a member of the three most important state courts unless that individual is a registered member of a party that has voter registration of at least 5%. This means that an independent, or a member of a minor party (qualified or not) can never qualify for a seat on the State Supreme Court, Superior Court, or Court of Chancery.
This is the first case to be heard in the U.S. Supreme Court involving the interests of independent voters, or members of minor parties, since 2005. Therefore, regardless of which side wins, the decision inevitably will say something about the attitude of members U.S. Supreme Court toward these voters.
The lawsuit was brought by James R. Adams, a Delaware attorney who is a registered independent and therefore ineligible to be appointed to any of the three most important courts. He won the case in the lower courts.
At the oral argument, both of the two newest justices, Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh, made strong statements that show they do have sympathy for individuals who are registered independents.
Justice Gorsuch
Neil Gorsuch asked the attorney for the state government to respond to this lengthy question: "The major party provision prohibits independents from service, serving as judges. That’s quite a sweeping rule. And I – as I understand you, you’ve indicated that you’d agree that that violates the Equal Protection Clause as applied to elected positions. But you indicate that it’s somehow very different with respect to appointed positions.
"And I guess I’m not clear why, given the absence of any historically-rooted tradition along these lines with respect to the major party requirement. I understand your argument that it serves as a backstop for the bare majority rule, which does have historical antecedents, plenty of them, but, none of these has ever included this backstop before. This is a novel thing. And it does prohibit a great percentage of the population from participating in the process."
Gorsuch is correct when he says the exclusion applies to "a great percentage of the population." The Delaware rule excludes 24.5% of all the voters from being considered for the various judicial positions.
Gorsuch’s reference to a "backstop" pertains to the fact that Delaware has two laws on the subject of the registration of its judges. The other law, which is not being challenged in this case, says no state court of any type can have more than a bare majority of its members from a single political party. Gorsuch, and several other justices, seem perplexed that if Delaware just wants political balance on its courts, the "bare majority" provision all by itself ought to serve that interest, without also excluding independent and minor party registrants.
Justice Kavanaugh
Brett Kavanaugh also seemed supportive of independent voters. He said, "Could a state exclude Republicans and Democrats from being judges and allow only independents to be judges?" After listening to a response from the attorney for the state, he said, "Why can’t – to pick up on Justice Sotomayor’s question, why can’t independents even better serve the goal of a balanced judiciary nonpartisan/bipartisan judiciary?"
After hearing yet another response, Kavanaugh said, "Well, I guess there’s a mismatch, arguably, between the State’s interest and excluding independents altogether from being judges, because independents could certainly – wouldn’t you agree that independents could serve the purpose of achieving a balanced nonpartisan or bipartisan judiciary."
Other Justices
Justices Stephen Breyer and Sonia Sotomayor were also supportive. Sotomayor is herself a registered independent, although neither she nor anyone else mentioned that fact. Both justices stated that because Delaware has the other law preventing any party from holding more than a bare majority on any particular court, that alone should handle the state’s asserted interest of having a balanced judiciary.
Breyer did not refer to independents, but he said, "How do you get around the fact that they way that it’s written and applied is you have to be a Republican or a Democrat? And there are other parties. And so why is that constitutional? At another point he said,, "The Green Party need not apply. It can’t."
Justice Elena Kagan focused mostly on the standing issue. It is difficult to tell which way she is leaning on that.
No justice expressed support for the idea of excluding independents. The attorney for the state constantly implied that all minor party members and all independents are ideological soul-mates for one of the two major parties. Although no justice attacked that idea, it is clearly not true. The largest minor party in Delaware is the Independent Party, which is a centrist party. No one made any reference to the Independent Party, or to any minor party other than the Green Party.
Many would argue that the Libertarian Party is equally divergent from both major parties, and one could put up an argument about the Green Party also. Many Green Party activists were formerly Republicans before they were Greens.
The attorney for the state made a potential blunder when he said, "Political party in this country is – it’s universally used by political science and scientists as the proxy for a philosophy and ideology."
If that is true, then the Delaware law clearly violates the First Amendment. One of the most famous quotations about the First Amendment was made by U.S. Supreme Court Justice Robert H. Jackson in 1943, in West Virginia State Board of Education v Barnette, 319 U.S. 624: "If there is any fixed star in our constitutional constellation, it is that no official, high or petty, can prescribe what shall be orthodox in politics, nationalism, religion, or other matters of opinion." If political party is just a proxy for ideology, then the Delaware law suppresses some ideologies and boosts others.
To the extent that the justices gave the plaintiff a hard time, it was over three points: (1) he had said "he would consider and apply" for any judicial position if he could, but of course he couldn’t obtain such an appointment because he is a registered independent. Some of the justices felt he may lack standing, because he should have said, "I would apply" instead of what he did say. Also he was attacked because even though he had said he was interested in joining any of the five types of court, he never actually applied for the two types of unimportant court for which independents are eligible (the Family Court and the Court of Common Pleas).
He was also attacked for having seemed to argue that he was also challenging the law that said no single party could have more than a bare majority of the membership of any court. However, at the oral argument, his attorney said Adams does not challenge that law in this lawsuit.
Finally, he was attacked for having seemed to argue in the courts below that the two types of law (the exclusion of minor party and independent members, as well as the law saying no party could have more than a bare majority) could not be severed from each other, and that if one law fell, the other one must also fall. The lower courts felt the two provisions could not be severed from each other, and had struck down both. But Adams disavowed the need to strike down the bare majority law.
It doesn’t seem likely that the Court will rule against Adams on standing, because the Justices must know that if they do that, inevitably another Delaware attorney who is registered as an independent, or as a member of a minor party, would file an entirely new lawsuit, and avoid making any mistakes to deprive himself or herself of standing.
And even if the Court does rule against Adams on standing, it seems likely that the decision will say something sympathetic to independent and minor party individuals.
Justices Clarence Thomas and Sam Alito hinted that they believe the Tenth Amendment forbids federal courts from interfering with state laws on the composition of its own judiciary, but this is not likely to be the position of any of the other justices. Chief Justice John Roberts seemed the most likely justice to rule that Adams lacks standing.
U.S. SUPREME COURT KEEPS RANKED CHOICE VOTING FOR PRESIDENT
On the evening of October 6, U.S. Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer rejected an appeal from Maine Republicans to stop ranked choice voting from being used for president this year. Thus Maine will be the first state in history to use ranked choice voting for president in a general election. Jones v Dunlap, 20A57. The actual issue in the case was whether the Republican-backed referendum should be on the ballot. If it had qualified, then RCV could not have been used in 2020.
ALASKA PARTY LABEL WIN AFTER ALL
The October 1 B.A.N. said that the Alaska Libertarian Party lawsuit to restore party labels for the nominees of unqualified parties had failed in court. But, even though the state court refused injunctive relief, on September 26 the Division of Elections reconsidered its position, and reprinted all the ballots from the legislative districts in which the state had stripped the party label. The new ballots have the label. The only affected parties were the Libertarian Party and the Veterans Party. Neither party happened to have any statewide candidates (except the Libertarians are ballot-qualified for president, so the problem didn’t affect Jo Jorgensen). But both parties had legislative candidates.
The law says that petitions for the nominees of unqualified parties may have partisan labels, and that the labels must be printed on the ballot. But the Elections Division had initially decided to ignore the law, and to simply print "petition candidate."
Seventh Circuit Judge Amy Barrett has had one ballot access case, and she ruled badly. The issue was whether Illinois was violating the Constitution when it required more signatures for a candidate for county office to get on the primary ballot, than for a statewide candidate to get on the primary ballot. Acevedo v Cook County Electoral Board (2019). The law required a Democrat running for Sheriff to get 8,236 signatures, whereas all Democrats for statewide office needed 5,000.
The Democratic primary ballot for Sheriff of Cook County is never crowded. The number of candidates in that primary for Sheriff has been: 2002 one; 2006 three; 2010 two; 2014 four; 2018 one, for an average of 2.2 candidates. Twice the U.S. Supreme Court had ruled that Illinois can’t require more signatures for a county or city office than for a statewide office, but Barrett did not apply those precedents.
VOTER REGISTRATION TOTALS
STATEDem.
Rep.
Indp, misc
Lib’t.
Green
Consti.
Wk Fam
Reform
other
Alaska
80,017
144,802
340,796
6,950
1,539
615
?
?
19,755
Arizona
1,293,074
1,389,960
1,268,739
32,965
4,476
?
?
?
– –
Arkansas
91,283
114,628
1,612,070
618
83
?
?
?
– –
Calif.
9,109,939
4,842,603
5,255,294
184,838
81,305
218
?
?
726,928
Colorado
1,097,559
997,785
1,489,012
38,913
8,292
10,806
?
?
4,813
Conn.
838,292
471,157
917,277
3,270
1,453
11
332
10
32,156
Delaware
350,943
204,276
167,856
1,880
719
276
325
45
8,973
Dt. Col.
386,917
28,677
82,869
1,950
3,630
?
?
?
– –
Florida
5,303,254
5,169,012
3,753,286
39,538
7,335
2,492
?
1,474
165,478
Idaho
137,730
515,310
308,307
9,714
?
3,480
?
?
– –
Iowa
690,251
703,336
646,211
13,013
3,274
0
0
0
– –
Kansas
509,048
865,387
524,195
20,353
0
0
0
0
0
Kentucky
1,672,380
1,568,690
307,577
13,511
1,931
899
?
138
300
Louis’na
1,248,613
1,004,537
708,366
23,406
4,545
267
0
3,143
15,048
Maine
386,786
295,122
339,782
?
41,693
?
?
?
– –
Maryland
2,258,099
1,016,031
810,182
14,059
5,613
?
?
?
2,472
Mass.
1,499,898
459,913
2,660,796
18,803
3,666
307
64
127
22,725
Nebraska
366,099
599,087
269,709
17,194
?
?
?
?
– –
Nevada
654,724
566,265
425,502
17,067
1,578
77,341
?
?
– –
N. Hamp.
316,926
297,972
386,548
?
?
?
?
?
– –
N. Jersey
2,498,976
1,425,319
2,362,169
18,199
11,496
17,138
?
2,009
30,880
N. M.
603,039
413,605
283,167
12,107
7,441
913
?
?
8,603
N. York
5,900,507
2,611,227
2,520,834
13,567
24,504
?
40,335
2,058
588,104
No. Car.
2,599,432
2,200,218
2,434,684
45,817
3,522
4,559
?
?
– –
Okla.
739,466
1,100,032
353,269
13,441
?
?
?
?
– –
Oregon
1,043,175
750,718
955,483
21,161
7,993
3,657
8,703
?
133,402
Penn.
4,168,900
3,451,514
1,227,454
40,324
9,547
?
?
?
– –
Rhode Is.
351,296
111,230
332,686
?
?
?
?
?
– –
So. Dak.
157,172
273,636
136,447
2,194
?
356
?
?
– –
Utah
239,514
833,232
467,061
17,528
2,235
5,655
?
?
55,336
W. Va.
469,150
446,733
324,767
8,414
2,352
174
?
?
– –
Wyo.
43,625
169,468
24,305
1,467
0
392
?
?
– –
TOTAL
47,106,084
35,041,482
33,696,700
652,261
240,222
129,556
49,758
9,004
1,814,973
Percent
39.67%
29.51%
28.38%
.55%
.20%
.11%
.04%
.01%
1.53%
Totals October 2018 were: Democratic 44,780,772 (39.82%), Republican 32,854,496 (29.22%), independent & miscellaneous 32,322,402 (28.74%), Libertarian 548,399 (.49%), Green 249,260 (.22%), Constitution 105,668 (.09%), Working Families 52,613 (.05%), Reform 6,177 (.01%), other parties 1,534,330 (1.36%).
Totals October 2016 were: Democratic 45,690,825 (40.60%), Republican 33,052,332 (29.37%), independent & miscellaneous 31,200,104 (27.72%), Libertarian 497,535 (.44%), Green 256,560 (.23%), Constitution 92,483 (.08%), Reform 5,294 (.00+%), Working Families 61,517 (.05%), other parties 1,662,329 (1.50%).
Totals October 2012 were: Dem. 43,512,746 (41.85%), Rep. 31,298,863 (30.10%), indp. & misc. 26,808,810 (25.79%), Libertarian 330,811 (.32%), Green 250,682 (.24%), Constitution 77,918 (.07%), Reform 22,880 (.02%), Americans Elect 6,408 (.01%), other parties 1,659,537 (1.60%).
Totals October 2008 were: Dem. 43,933,901 (43.62%), Rep. 30,944,590 (30.72%), indp. & misc. 24,157,259 (23.98%), AIP/Constitution 438,222 (.44%), Green 255,019 (.25%), Libertarian 240,328 (.24%), Reform 32,961 (.03%), other parties 675,980 (.67%).
Totals October 2004 were: Dem. 37,301,951 (42.19%), Rep. 28,988,593 (32.79%), indp. & misc. 20,471,250 (23.15%), Constitution 320,019 (.36%), Green 298,701 (.34%), Libertarian 235,521 (.27%), Reform 63,729 (.07%), Natural Law 39,670 (.04%), other parties 695,639 (.79%). See page one for more about this chart.
2020 PARTY REVENUE FROM STATE INCOME TAX "CHECK-OFF"
State
Demo.
Rep.
Lib’t.
Constitn
Green
Wk Fam
Indp. Prty
other
Alabama
8,454
11,932
– –
– –
– –
– –
– –
– –
Arizona
22,316
11,961
660
– –
1,610
– –
– –
– –
Kentucky
61,802
95,828
– –
– –
– –
– –
– –
– –
Minn.
40,360
15,872
782
– –
1,008
– –
1,764
1,738
N. Mex.
6,584
3,844
366
94
278
– –
– –
148
Oregon
16,907
6,288
522
183
645
993
1,266
489
Rhode I.
9,965
3,530
– –
– –
– –
– –
– –
512
Utah
46,240
53,024
5,166
2,030
1,694
– –
– –
6,328
Virginia
48,940
13,399
– –
– –
– –
– –
– –
– –
TOTAL
261,586
215,678
7,496
2,307
5,235
993
2,356
9,215
Entries in "Other" column are: Minn., Grassroots $636 & Legalize Marijuana Now $1,102; N.M., Better for America $146 and Indp. American $2; Ore., Prog; Rhode Island, Moderate; Utah, United Utah $2,548 & Independent American $3,780.
TOTALS FOR THE ENTIRE NATION THROUGH THE PERIOD 2000-2020
YEAR
Democrat
Republican
Green
Lib’t.
Reform/AE
Constitution
Other
2000
941,463
822,671
31,864
13,024
5,054
19,209
71,824
2001
680,608
611,065
12,184
8,173
755
2,295
46,232
2002
928,716
892,438
84,120
7,289
749
2,886
97,559
2003
1,181,312
1,126,585
20,665
7,859
46
51
9,975
2004
828,136
786,190
16,309
8,446
324
1,409
8,822
2005
750,461
714,238
18,100
5,546
34
2,442
25,887
2006
915,945
806,193
50,434
7,282
– –
5,847
45,355
2007
1,050,593
850,580
15,716
5,839
– –
3,503
15,627
2008
1,520,746
1,127,478
8,324
5,034
– –
5,938
5,219
2009
978,325
718,165
7,642
45,889
– –
4,520
4,970
2010
830,562
616,027
5,257
11,115
– –
3,617
5,630
2011
850,490
603,022
6,560
53,133
– –
4,367
11,766
2012
1,883,507
1,245,403
7,862
101,253
– –
2,458
8,733
2013
740,897
545,527
4,041
22,438
11,516
2,816
21,430
2014
369,153
324,042
1,836
7,418
817
3,041
3,175
2015
280,223
246,396
1,777
7,263
174
2,455
12,078
2016
275,908
231,102
3,517
6,636
561
2,428
6,229
2017
261,402
235,678
2,502
7,426
– –
2,333
8,781
2018
251.366
201,949
4,783
8,316
– –
2,255
13,152
2019
239,727
215,182
3,330
7,467
– –
2,283
8,791
2020
261,568
215,678
5,235
7,496
– –
2,307
12,564
LEGISLATIVE CANDIDATES ON THE BALLOT
The chart shows how many legislative nominees each party has. Republicans have them in 82.2% of the seats, their highest since 2010, when they had 83.9%. Democrats have nominees in 83.0% of seats. Although they had a higher percentage in 2018 (87.8%), their 2020 showing is still the second-highest percentage since 2008.
The number of independent legislative candidates declined from 3.9% of the seats in 2018, to 3.6% in 2020. Libertarians declined from 5.9% of the seats in 2018 to 4.5% in 2020. Greens declined from 1.2% of the seats in 2018 to .9% in 2020. The health crisis injured minor party and independent candidates because they are more dependent on petitioning.
STATE
# seats
Rep.
Dem.
Lib’t.
indp.
Green
Consti
other(1)
other(2)
oth(3)
Alaska
51
41
37
2
19
0
4
3
1
0
Ariz
90
75
70
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Ark
117
102
63
4
7
0
0
0
0
0
Cal
100
79
95
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
Colo
83
75
82
31
0
0
0
2
0
0
Ct
187
161
179
1
10
4
0
13
1
0
Del
52
34
43
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
Fla
140
114
139
2
14
0
0
0
0
0
Ga
236
167
183
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Hi
65
35
65
2
0
2
0
13
1
0
Id
105
101
57
4
2
0
6
0
0
0
Ill
140
79
126
9
4
6
1
0
0
0
Ind
125
104
105
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
Iowa
125
125
125
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
Kan
165
153
120
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
Ky
119
98
89
11
4
0
0
0
0
0
Maine
186
159
170
0
13
4
0
0
0
0
Mass
200
59
183
0
14
1
0
0
0
0
Mich
110
108
109
9
1
10
2
5
1
0
Minn.
201
198
197
0
0
1
0
11
7
4
Mo
180
147
120
8
1
3
1
0
0
0
Mont
125
116
89
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
Nev
52
42
44
5
3
0
5
0
0
0
NH
424
369
418
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
NM
112
101
91
17
3
1
0
0
0
0
NY
213
153
198
14
6
8
0
14
4
3
NoC
170
161
168
23
1
1
0
0
0
0
NoD
70
70
57
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Ohio
115
107
93
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Okla
125
119
57
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
Ore
76
66
76
11
0
3
0
1
0
0
Pa
228
183
186
6
5
2
0
0
0
0
R I
113
42
107
1
19
0
0
0
0
0
So C
170
139
110
6
0
1
1
4
1
1
So D
105
101
62
7
4
0
0
0
0
0
Tenn
115
95
69
0
13
0
0
0
0
0
Tex
166
135
139
35
0
3
0
0
0
0
Utah
90
88
63
2
0
0
6
19
2
0
Vt
180
125
144
3
42
0
0
18
0
0
Wash
123
103
110
3
4
0
0
1
1
0
W Va
117
107
99
5
1
4
0
0
0
0
Wis
115
105
100
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
Wyo
75
70
26
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
TOTAL
5856
4811
4863
266
213
55
26
105
19
8
Parties in the "other(1)" column: Ak, Alaskan Independence; Cal, American Independent; Co, Unity; Ct, Independent Pty; Hi, Aloha Aina; Mi, Working Class; Mn, Legal Marijuana Now; NY, Conservative; Or, Working Families; SC, Alliance; Ut, United Utah; Vt, Progressive; Wa, Alliance.
Parties in the "other(2)" column are: Ak, Veterans; Ct, Socialist Resurgence; Hi, American Shopping; Mi, Natural Law; Mn, Grassroots-Legalize Cannabis; NY, Working Families; SC, Independence; Ut, Independent American; Wa, Seattle Peoples.
Parties in the "other(3)" column: Mn, 3 Veterans, and 1 Alliance; NY, SAM; SC, Labor; Wa, Progressive.
PRESIDENTIAL WRITE-IN STATUS
Here is a list of the presidential candidates who are on the ballot in at least two states, but who are not on the ballot in all states, and who have filed for write-in status in at least one state. It shows in which states they have filed for write-in status. However, this list is not complete, because the deadline has not passed in all states.
Howie Hawkins: Ak, Az, Ga, Id, In, Ky, Wi.
Gloria La Riva: Az, Ct, De, Ga, Id, Ky, Md, Mo, NY, Oh, Tx, WV, Ws.
Rocky De La Fuente: Md, NY, WV.
Don Blankenship: Il, NY, WV.
Brock Pierce: De, Md, WV.
Kanye West: Ak, De, Md, NY, Wi.
Brian Carroll: Ak, Ct, De, Fl, Ga, Id, In, Ky, Md, Ma, NY, Oh, Tx, Ut.
Phil Collins: NY.
Dario Hunter: Ak, NY, Oh.
Jade Simmons: Az, De, Fl, Ga, Id, Il, Md, Ma, Mt, NY, NC, Oh, Ut, WV, Wi.
GEORGIA SPECIAL U.S. HOUSE ELECTION
Georgia held a special election on September 29 to fill the vacant Fifth District seat. In Georgia special elections, there are no party nominees; any individual may run by paying a filing fee. Party labels are permitted. In this election, the candidates were five Democrats, one Libertarian, and one independent. No one got a majority so there will be a run-off between Democrats Kwanza Hall and Robert Franklin on December 1. The five Democrats together got 97.16% of the vote; the Libertarian received 2.04%; the independent received .81%.
The last B.A.N. said that on August 30, the Movement for a Peoples Party held a founding convention on-line. Actually that meeting was a planning meeting for the upcoming founding convention. The convention itself will be early in 2021.
Free & Equal and Open the Debates sponsored an alternative presidential debate on Thursday, October 8, in Denver. The candidates were Howie Hawkins, Gloria La Riva, Don Blankenship, Brock Pierce, and Brian Carroll. The same five candidates will debate again on October 24 in Cheyenne, Wyoming.
The Commission on Presidential Debates had expected to hold three presidential debates between President Trump and Joe Biden, but the second debate, set for October 15, was never held.
FLORIDA ACLU OPPOSES TOP-TWO INITIATIVE
In late September, the American Civil Liberties Union of Florida League declared its opposition to the top-two initiative, which is on the ballot as Amendment Three. The ACLU statement did not mention the impact it would have on minor parties. Instead it cited evidence that it would be more difficult for racial and ethnic minorities to be elected.
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